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Spain U21 vs Romania U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Estadi Municipal de Can Misses, Ibiza
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Match Events

27' Event
Burnete R.
Assist: Cimpean R.
34' Event
Garcia P.
Assist: Bravo I.
41' Event
Gasiorowski Y.
Assist: Garcia P.

AI Match Summary

Spain U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Spain U21
15%
Draws
36%
Romania U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain U21 have won more games recently than Romania U21.
  • Model gives Spain U21 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spain U21 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Spain U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Romania U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U21 Romania U21
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 26 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.92 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Romania U21
7:1
Nov 18, 2025 Euro U21
Romania U21 vs Spain U21
0:2
Jun 14, 2025 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Romania U21
2:1
Jun 21, 2023 Euro U21
Romania U21 vs Spain U21
0:3
Sep 23, 2022 Friendly International
Romania U21 vs Spain U21
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Romania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Burnete R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U21 85 / 100
Romania U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U21 Romania U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U21's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Spain U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Romania U21 has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spain U21 VS Romania U21
3.75 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Spain U21
7 : 1
Romania U21
01 Oct
San Marino U21
0 : 13
Spain U21
25 Sept
Finland U21
2 : 1
Spain U21
31 Mar
Spain U21
2 : 0
Kosovo U21
27 Mar
Cyprus U21
0 : 7
Spain U21
Page 1 of 8

Romania U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Spain U21
7 : 1
Romania U21
30 Sept
Romania U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
25 Sept
Cyprus U21
0 : 3
Romania U21
31 Mar
Romania U21
3 : 0
San Marino U21
27 Mar
Kosovo U21
0 : 1
Romania U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 0 1 47:5 27
2 Finland U21 10 7 2 1 34:7 23
3 Romania U21 10 5 1 4 12:13 16
4 Kosovo U21 10 4 3 3 21:11 15
5 Cyprus U21 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 0:57 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 8 1 1 35:2 25
2 Czech Republic U21 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
3 Scotland U21 10 5 2 3 25:12 17
4 Bulgaria U21 10 4 2 4 9:10 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 10 2 4 4 11:24 10
6 Gibraltar U21 10 0 0 10 1:44 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 10 8 2 0 34:8 26
2 Iceland U21 10 5 3 2 22:11 18
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 2 3 17:17 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 4 0 6 8:17 12
5 Luxembourg U21 10 3 1 6 13:22 10
6 Estonia U21 10 0 2 8 9:28 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
2 Ireland U21 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
3 Slovakia U21 10 6 2 2 17:13 20
4 Moldova U21 10 2 3 5 12:19 9
5 Andorra U21 10 2 2 6 7:12 8
6 Kazakhstan U21 10 1 1 8 11:21 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 9 0 1 32:7 27
2 Poland U21 10 9 0 1 28:8 27
3 Sweden U21 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
4 Montenegro U21 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
5 North Macedonia U21 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 1 9 5:25 1
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 9 0 1 32:5 27
2 Greece U21 10 9 0 1 29:6 27
3 Northern Ireland U21 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
4 Georgia U21 10 2 4 4 13:15 10
5 Latvia U21 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 2:38 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 8 5 2 1 19:6 17
2 Netherlands U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
3 Israel U21 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 4 3 3:11 7
5 Slovenia U21 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Turkey U21 8 3 4 1 9:8 13
3 Ukraine U21 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
4 Hungary U21 8 1 4 3 9:13 7
5 Lithuania U21 8 0 2 6 4:17 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 8 5 2 1 13:2 17
2 Denmark U21 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
3 Austria U21 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Wales U21 8 2 0 6 7:28 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)