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Spain U23 W vs Sweden U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Ciudad del Futbal de Las Rozas, Las Rozas de Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kapocs C.
5' Event
Vignola O.
33' Event
Kapocs C.
Assist: Vinberg M.

AI Match Summary

Sweden U23 W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sweden U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Spain U23 W
15%
Draws
45%
Sweden U23 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sweden U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sweden U23 W have won more games recently than Spain U23 W.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Spain U23 W taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Spain U23 W Clean Sheet 10%
Sweden U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U23 W Sweden U23 W
Matches Played 25 36
Wins 12 23
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.72 2.08
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2025 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
2:3
Apr 6, 2025 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
3:4
Nov 30, 2023 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
4:1
Apr 6, 2023 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Spain U23 W
1:2
Sep 5, 2022 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Spain U23 W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vignola O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iannuzzi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sweden U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapocs C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eriksson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U23 W 47 / 100
Sweden U23 W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U23 W Sweden U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U23 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Spain U23 W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (25 games).

Sweden U23 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 36 matches.

Spain U23 W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spain U23 W VS Sweden U23 W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U23 W

(Home)
29 May
Spain U23 W
2 : 3
Sweden U23 W
06 Apr
Spain U23 W
3 : 4
Sweden U23 W
03 Apr
Spain U23 W
2 : 1
England U23 W
25 Feb
Spain U23 W
3 : 0
Denmark U23 W
20 Feb
Spain U23 W
1 : 0
Belgium U23 W
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Sweden U23 W

(Away)
08 Oct
Sweden U23 W
3 : 2
Finland U23 W
08 Jun
Sweden U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
03 Jun
Sweden U23 W
2 : 0
Norway U23 W
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
Norway U23 W
0 : 1
Sweden U23 W
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