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Spain vs Andorra

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Friendly International 2024 Estadio Nuevo Vivero
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Match Events

24' Event
Perez A.
Assist: Cubarsi P.
46'
Sub
Llorente M. In: Navas J.
Out: Llorente M.
46'
Sub
Cubarsi P. In: Le Normand R.
Out: Cubarsi P.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Spain and Andorra finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spain
6%
Draws
4%
Andorra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Spain carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Spain a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Spain Clean Sheet 68%
Andorra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain Andorra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 24 2
Draws 6 5
Losses 1 23
Goals Scored 1.63 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2024 Friendly International
Spain vs Andorra
5:0
Jun 5, 2004 Friendly International
Spain vs Andorra
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain Compare

Top Goalscorer Oyarzabal M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Perez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Andorra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain 95 / 100
Andorra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain Andorra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spain scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Andorra has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Spain went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spain VS Andorra
1.63 Goals Scored 0.33
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 17%