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Spain vs Brazil

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Rodri
(Penalty)
34'
Le Normand R.
36' Event
Olmo D.
Assist: Lamine Yamal

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Spain and Brazil finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Spain
15%
Draws
34%
Brazil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Spain a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Spain Clean Sheet 68%
Brazil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain Brazil
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 22 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 1 7
Goals Scored 2.41 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 Friendly International
Spain vs Brazil
3:3
Jun 30, 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup
Brazil vs Spain
3:0
Nov 12, 1999 Friendly International
Spain vs Brazil
0:0
Sep 12, 1990 Friendly International
Spain vs Brazil
3:0
Jun 1, 1986 World Championship
Spain vs Brazil
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain Compare

Top Goalscorer Olmo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Brazil Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrygo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Endrick
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain 50 / 100
Brazil 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain Brazil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Spain has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Brazil conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Spain VS Brazil
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain

(Home)
19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0
Argentina
14 Jul
France
0 : 2
Spain
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1
Spain
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
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Brazil

(Away)
05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2
Norway
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1
Japan
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0
Haiti
13 Jun
Brazil
1 : 1
Morocco
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