Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spain W vs Belgium W

Europe Europe

Euro Women Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Putellas A.
Assist: Lopez V.
24' Event
Vanhaevermaet J.
Assist: Wullaert T.
28'
Teulings J.

AI Match Summary

Spain W in this Euro Women matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Spain W
20%
Draws
38%
Belgium W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spain W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Spain W have won more games recently than Belgium W.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spain W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Spain W Clean Sheet 20%
Belgium W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain W Belgium W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 23 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.87 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2025 Euro Women
Spain W vs Belgium W
6:2
May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Belgium W vs Spain W
1:5
Feb 21, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Spain W vs Belgium W
3:2
Jul 16, 2024 Euro Women
Spain W vs Belgium W
2:0
Apr 5, 2024 Euro Women
Belgium W vs Spain W
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain W Compare

Top Goalscorer Putellas A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Paredes I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Belgium W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanhaevermaet J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eurlings H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain W 36 / 100
Belgium W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain W Belgium W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Belgium W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Spain W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spain W VS Belgium W
2.38 Goals Scored 2
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain W

(Home)
09 Jun
Iceland W
1 : 6
Spain W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0
Ukraine W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3
Spain W
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Belgium W

(Away)
09 Jun
Luxembourg W
0 : 7
Belgium W
05 Jun
Belgium W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
18 Apr
Belgium W
0 : 0
Scotland W
14 Apr
Scotland W
1 : 1
Belgium W
07 Mar
Belgium W
5 : 0
Israel W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
2 Switzerland W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Finland W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Iceland W 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 3 3 0 0 14:3 9
2 Italy W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Belgium W 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Portugal W 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Germany W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Poland W 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Denmark W 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 England W 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Netherlands W 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Wales W 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)