Sport Picks
Spakenburg vs Katwijk
Netherlands
Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Westmaat, Spakenburg 
Match Events
5'
5'
el Azzouti A.
Assist: van der Linden F.
48'
48'
Tahiri M.
Assist: Suleiman M.
67'
67'
Sub
el Azzouti A. In: van Mil K.
Out: el Azzouti A.
AI Match Summary
Spakenburg in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spakenburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Katwijk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Katwijk lately — more wins on the board than Spakenburg.
- Win probability leans Katwijk's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Spakenburg Clean Sheet 17%
Katwijk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spakenburg | Katwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs Katwijk
1:0
May 16, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs Katwijk
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Spakenburg
2:2
Feb 8, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Spakenburg
2:1
Oct 31, 2024 KNVB Beker
Spakenburg vs Katwijk
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spakenburg Compare
Top Goalscorer el Azzouti A.
1 Goals Assists Leader van der Linden F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Katwijk Compare
Top Goalscorer Tahiri M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spakenburg 28 / 100
Katwijk 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spakenburg Katwijk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Katwijk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spakenburg found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Katwijk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Spakenburg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Spakenburg VS Katwijk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spakenburg
(Home) 26 Sept
De Treffers
5 : 0 Spakenburg
22 Sept
RKAV Volendam
3 : 2 Spakenburg
19 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 1 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
12 Sept
Jong Almere City
0 : 3 Spakenburg
05 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 3 Barendrecht
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 1 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
05 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 3 Barendrecht
15 Aug
Spakenburg
1 : 0 Katwijk
18 Jul
Spakenburg
1 : 1 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
16 May
Spakenburg
2 : 1 Katwijk
Page 1 of 3
Katwijk
(Away) 26 Sept
AFC
0 : 1 Katwijk
19 Sept
Katwijk
1 : 2 De Treffers
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Katwijk
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Almere City
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2 Katwijk
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
AFC
0 : 1 Katwijk
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Katwijk
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2 Katwijk
29 Aug
Barendrecht
0 : 2 Katwijk
15 Aug
Spakenburg
1 : 0 Katwijk
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 69:35 | 66 |
| 2 | De Treffers | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:37 | 63 |
| 3 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 60:37 | 63 |
| 4 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 76:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Hardenberg | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 58:44 | 56 |
| 6 | Spakenburg | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 72:60 | 56 |
| 7 | Katwijk | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 60:55 | 52 |
| 8 | Jong Almere City | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 70:62 | 50 |
| 9 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Jong Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 71:73 | 45 |
| 11 | AFC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 46:54 | 45 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 62:84 | 43 |
| 13 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 50:62 | 42 |
| 14 | GVVV | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:67 | 42 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 33:49 | 39 |
| 16 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | Excelsior Maassluis | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 39:58 | 31 |
| 18 | ACV Assen | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 48:71 | 30 |
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
