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Spal U19 vs Novara U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Primavera 2 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
43' Event

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2017/2018 game between Spal U19 and Novara U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Spal U19
15%
Draws
78%
Novara U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novara U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Spal U19 haven't matched Novara U19's recent run of results.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Novara U19 taking it.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Spal U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Novara U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spal U19 Novara U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 13 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.97 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2018 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Novara U19
1:1
Sep 30, 2017 Primavera 2
Novara U19 vs Spal U19
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spal U19 10 / 100
Novara U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spal U19 Novara U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novara U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novara U19 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Spal U19 scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Spal U19 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spal U19 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spal U19

(Home)
10 May
Spal U19
1 : 1
Modena U19
03 May
Entella U19
3 : 1
Spal U19
28 Apr
Spal U19
0 : 1
Parma U19
18 Apr
Spal U19
2 : 3
Cittadella U19
12 Apr
AlbinoLeffe U19
2 : 1
Spal U19
Page 1 of 7

Novara U19

(Away)
16 May
Novara U19
0 : 1
Palermo U19
05 May
Brescia U19
1 : 2
Novara U19
28 Apr
Novara U19
3 : 0
Cittadella U19
21 Apr
Carpi U19
0 : 1
Novara U19
14 Apr
Novara U19
3 : 1
Parma U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novara U19 24 15 6 3 54:28 51
2 Empoli U19 24 13 6 5 37:21 45
3 Cesena U19 24 12 8 4 48:29 44
4 Spezia U19 24 11 5 8 46:34 38
5 Spal U19 24 9 10 5 25:21 37
6 Venezia U19 24 10 5 9 43:41 35
7 Cremonese U19 24 9 7 8 38:30 34
8 Pro Vercelli U19 24 9 6 9 34:38 33
9 Entella U19 24 8 6 10 35:36 30
10 Cittadella U19 24 8 5 11 26:43 29
11 Brescia U19 24 7 5 12 28:40 26
12 Parma U19 24 4 5 15 22:50 17
13 Carpi U19 24 1 6 17 16:41 9
Promotion - Primavera 1 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo U19 24 12 9 3 50:23 45
2 Cagliari U19 24 13 5 6 46:23 44
3 Ascoli U19 24 12 6 6 50:34 42
4 Bari U19 24 12 6 6 47:33 42
5 Crotone U19 24 11 5 8 44:30 38
6 Pescara U19 24 10 7 7 44:34 37
7 Perugia U19 24 11 4 9 39:32 37
8 Frosinone U19 24 9 7 8 31:31 34
9 Ternana U19 24 9 5 10 34:30 32
10 Foggia U19 24 7 7 10 38:39 28
11 Benevento U19 24 6 9 9 28:42 27
12 Salernitana U19 24 8 2 14 26:44 26
13 Avellino U19 24 0 0 24 22:104 0
Promotion - Primavera 1 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)