Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spal U19 vs Reggiana U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Samaritani C.
61' Event
Anzolin T.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2024/2025 game between Spal U19 and Reggiana U19 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spal U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Spal U19
20%
Draws
64%
Reggiana U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Reggiana U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Reggiana U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Spal U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Reggiana U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spal U19 Reggiana U19
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Primavera 2
Reggiana U19 vs Spal U19
1:1
Dec 14, 2024 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Reggiana U19
2:0
Jan 27, 2024 Primavera 2
Reggiana U19 vs Spal U19
0:0
Sep 16, 2023 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Reggiana U19
0:2
Feb 18, 2023 Primavera 2
Reggiana U19 vs Spal U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samaritani C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anzolin T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Reggiana U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spal U19 30 / 100
Reggiana U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spal U19 Reggiana U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggiana U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Reggiana U19 conceded in 80% of 35 recent games.

Spal U19 found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Reggiana U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Reggiana U19
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spal U19

(Home)
10 May
Spal U19
1 : 1
Modena U19
03 May
Entella U19
3 : 1
Spal U19
28 Apr
Spal U19
0 : 1
Parma U19
18 Apr
Spal U19
2 : 3
Cittadella U19
12 Apr
AlbinoLeffe U19
2 : 1
Spal U19
Page 1 of 6

Reggiana U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Reggiana U19
0 : 0
Sudtirol U19
12 Sept
Padova U19
1 : 0
Reggiana U19
05 Sept
Reggiana U19
1 : 3
Renate U19
16 May
Perugia U19
2 : 0
Reggiana U19
09 May
Vicenza U19
1 : 5
Reggiana U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma U19 30 21 6 3 62:23 69
2 Como U19 30 21 6 3 74:21 69
3 Entella U19 30 14 10 6 53:31 52
4 Renate U19 30 15 7 8 35:31 52
5 Vicenza U19 30 14 7 9 56:41 49
6 Modena U19 30 10 8 12 57:49 38
7 Sudtirol U19 30 10 7 13 39:43 37
8 Brescia U19 30 9 9 12 39:41 36
9 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 10 5 15 40:60 35
10 Cittadella U19 30 10 5 15 38:54 35
11 Pro Vercelli U19 30 9 6 15 35:46 33
12 Spal U19 30 7 12 11 29:36 33
13 Venezia U19 30 7 11 12 35:51 32
14 Padova U19 30 8 7 15 28:43 31
15 Reggiana U19 30 7 10 13 32:57 31
16 FeralpiSalo U19 30 6 8 16 28:53 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frosinone U19 30 19 6 5 55:26 63
2 Ascoli U19 30 18 5 7 64:45 59
3 Napoli U19 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
4 Ternana U19 30 16 8 6 57:37 56
5 Pescara U19 30 12 9 9 47:37 45
6 Cosenza U19 30 13 4 13 39:42 43
7 Pisa U19 30 12 7 11 53:42 43
8 Benevento U19 30 12 5 13 44:41 41
9 Palermo U19 30 11 7 12 42:44 40
10 Spezia U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Avellino U19 30 8 7 15 45:65 31
12 Bari U19 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
13 Salernitana U19 30 7 10 13 43:54 31
14 Perugia U19 30 7 9 14 34:54 30
15 Monopoli U19 30 8 4 18 33:56 28
16 Crotone U19 30 7 6 17 45:68 27
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)