Sport Picks
Spal vs Legnago Salus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 Stadio Paolo Mazza, Ferrara 
Match Events
37'
37'
Franzolini A.
46'
46'
Sub
Haoudi H. In: Karlsson O.
Out: Haoudi H.
53'
53'
Radrezza I.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Legnago Salus have won more games recently than Spal.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Spal taking it.
- Regular Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Spal Clean Sheet 68%
Legnago Salus Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spal | Legnago Salus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Spal vs Legnago Salus
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Legnago Salus vs Spal
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spal Compare
Top Goalscorer Molina J. I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Legnago Salus Compare
Top Goalscorer Franzolini A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spal 77 / 100
Legnago Salus 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spal Legnago Salus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Legnago Salus conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Spal scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Spal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Legnago Salus
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Spal
(Home) 17 May
Spal
2 : 0 AC Milan U23
10 May
AC Milan U23
1 : 0 Spal
27 Apr
Spal
3 : 0 Gubbio
23 Apr
Vis Pesaro
1 : 1 Spal
12 Apr
Spal
1 : 1 US Pontedera
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Spal
2 : 0 AC Milan U23
27 Apr
Spal
3 : 0 Gubbio
12 Apr
Spal
1 : 1 US Pontedera
30 Mar
Spal
1 : 1 Legnago Salus
17 Mar
Spal
0 : 3 Ternana
Page 1 of 3
Legnago Salus
(Away) 04 Oct
Legnago Salus
0 : 2 Bassano Virtus
27 Sept
Campodarsego
0 : 1 Legnago Salus
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1 Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Altavilla
2 : 3 Legnago Salus
12 Sept
Legnago Salus
1 : 1 Calcio San Dona
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Campodarsego
0 : 1 Legnago Salus
16 Sept
Altavilla
2 : 3 Legnago Salus
06 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 1 Legnago Salus
01 Aug
Ospitaletto
5 : 1 Legnago Salus
03 May
Vigasio
1 : 4 Legnago Salus
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Entella | 38 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 61:24 | 83 |
| 2 | Ternana | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 64:23 | 74 |
| 3 | Sassari Torres | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 55:36 | 68 |
| 4 | Pescara | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 55:35 | 67 |
| 5 | Arezzo | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 48:37 | 64 |
| 6 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 44:34 | 58 |
| 7 | Pineto | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 46:49 | 57 |
| 8 | Pianese | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 48:48 | 53 |
| 9 | Rimini | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 10 | US Pontedera | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54:54 | 48 |
| 11 | Gubbio | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 32:42 | 48 |
| 12 | Perugia | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:41 | 47 |
| 13 | Carpi | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 41:48 | 44 |
| 14 | Campobasso | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:46 | 43 |
| 15 | Ascoli | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 37:46 | 40 |
| 16 | Lucchese | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 47:64 | 39 |
| 17 | Spal | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:61 | 35 |
| 18 | AC Milan U23 | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 36:57 | 34 |
| 19 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 34:54 | 31 |
| 20 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 30:63 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)
