Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Cicerelli E.
20'
20'
Sub
Paghera F. In: Rao E.
Out: Paghera F.
46'
46'
Sub
Iglio G. In: Haoudi H.
Out: Iglio G.
AI Match Summary
Ternana in this Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ternana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ternana lately — more wins on the board than Spal.
- Win probability leans Spal's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Spal Clean Sheet 19%
Ternana Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spal | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Spal vs Ternana
0:3
Nov 2, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Spal
4:1
Apr 1, 2023 Serie B
Spal vs Ternana
1:1
Nov 5, 2022 Serie B
Ternana vs Spal
0:0
Feb 22, 2022 Serie B
Spal vs Ternana
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spal Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Ternana Compare
Top Goalscorer Cicerelli E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cianci P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spal 36 / 100
Ternana 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spal Ternana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Spal's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Ternana has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Spal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Ternana
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Spal
(Home) 17 May
Spal
2 : 0 AC Milan U23
10 May
AC Milan U23
1 : 0 Spal
27 Apr
Spal
3 : 0 Gubbio
23 Apr
Vis Pesaro
1 : 1 Spal
12 Apr
Spal
1 : 1 US Pontedera
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Spal
2 : 0 AC Milan U23
27 Apr
Spal
3 : 0 Gubbio
12 Apr
Spal
1 : 1 US Pontedera
30 Mar
Spal
1 : 1 Legnago Salus
17 Mar
Spal
0 : 3 Ternana
Page 1 of 3
Ternana
(Away) 04 Oct
Ternana
4 : 1 Montevarchi
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0 Ternana
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0 Tau
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1 Ternana
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0 Ternana
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1 Ternana
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0 Ternana
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2 Ternana
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Entella | 38 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 61:24 | 83 |
| 2 | Ternana | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 64:23 | 74 |
| 3 | Sassari Torres | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 55:36 | 68 |
| 4 | Pescara | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 55:35 | 67 |
| 5 | Arezzo | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 48:37 | 64 |
| 6 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 44:34 | 58 |
| 7 | Pineto | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 46:49 | 57 |
| 8 | Pianese | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 48:48 | 53 |
| 9 | Rimini | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 10 | US Pontedera | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54:54 | 48 |
| 11 | Gubbio | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 32:42 | 48 |
| 12 | Perugia | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:41 | 47 |
| 13 | Carpi | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 41:48 | 44 |
| 14 | Campobasso | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:46 | 43 |
| 15 | Ascoli | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 37:46 | 40 |
| 16 | Lucchese | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 47:64 | 39 |
| 17 | Spal | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:61 | 35 |
| 18 | AC Milan U23 | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 36:57 | 34 |
| 19 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 34:54 | 31 |
| 20 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 30:63 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)
