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Spalding United vs Alvechurch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Spalding United
35%
Draws
35%
Alvechurch
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Alvechurch have managed 1.64 goals a game lately — Spalding United are scoring more at 1.7.
  • Win probability leans Spalding United's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Alvechurch, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 20%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spalding United Alvechurch
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.7 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Spalding United vs Alvechurch
3:0
Nov 1, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Spalding United
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Spalding United vs Alvechurch
0:0
Dec 14, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Spalding United
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 FA Trophy
Spalding United vs Alvechurch
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spalding United 49 / 100
Alvechurch 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spalding United Alvechurch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spalding United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spalding United found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Alvechurch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Spalding United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spalding United VS Alvechurch
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spalding United

(Home)
17 Oct
Spalding United
2 : 2
Alvechurch
10 Oct
Marine
1 : 0
Spalding United
06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0
Bury Town
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1
Spalding United
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1
Spalding United
Page 1 of 6

Alvechurch

(Away)
17 Oct
Spalding United
2 : 2
Alvechurch
13 Oct
Halesowen
1 : 1
Alvechurch
10 Oct
Alvechurch
0 : 1
Bury Town
03 Oct
Cambridge City
1 : 2
Alvechurch
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Harborough -
TBD -
Stourbridge 1
Rushall 3
FC Witham Town 3
Stotfold 2
St. Albans 2
Hashtag 0
AFC Emley 3
Bishop Auckland 1
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Lower Breck 5
Thornaby 1
TBD -
Chester -
North Ferriby FC 0
Barton Town 2
Bourne 2
Boldmere St Michaels 3
Warrington Rylands 3
Hyde 1
TBD -
Chorley -
Wellingborough 3
Kettering 4
Quorn 2
Shepshed 1
Knowle 1
Worcester 2
Alfreton 0
Stratford 2
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stafford 3
Northampton on Chenecks 0
TBD -
Hereford -
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 1
Stamford 0
Mickleover 1
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton -
TBD -
Whitby 2
Ashton United 5
South Shields -
TBD -
Avro 0
Witton Albion 2
Biggleswade Town 1
Hitchin 4
Grays 0
Leiston 5
Hednesford -
TBD -
Coventry United 2
Bedworth United 1
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
Stockton 3
Guiseley 4
Curzon Ashton 1
Bradford PA 2
Lancaster 3
Tadcaster Albion 1
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunstable 1
Woodford Town 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
Cornard United 0
AFC Totton -
TBD -
Gloucester City 5
Mangotsfield 1
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe -
Shildon 2
Warrington Town 6
South Liverpool 4
Prestwich Heys 3
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Redcar Athletic 1
Stocksbridge 0
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Vauxhall 0
Dunston 2
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Leamington 3
Ilkeston 1
Sherwood Colliery 2
Gainsborough 4
Northampton Sileby 0
Anstey Nomads 4
Cleethorpes 1
Newcastle Town 2
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
Worksop -
Garforth 1
United of Manchester 5
Ossett United 1
Pontefract Collieries 0
Bury FC 8
Wythenshawe FC 0
Workington 3
Marske United 0
Bromsgrove 2
Nuneaton 0
Sporting Khalsa 0
Leek Town 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrogate -
Leighton Town 1
Gorleston 4
London Lions 2
Bury Town 4
Spalding United -
TBD -
Hanley Town 2
Abbey Hulton 1
Cambridge City 6
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Yaxley 1
Buckhurst Hill 4
Alvechurch 2
Wolverhampton City 0
Lye Town 1
Racing Club Warwick 5
Desborough Town 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 4
Ipswich Wanderers 0
Stanway Rovers 1
Needham Market 3
TBD -
Braintree -
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Redcar Town 1
Blyth Spartans 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heaton Stannington 1
Knaresborough Town 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Trafford 3
Northwich Victoria 2
Atherton Collieries 3
Prescot Cables 2
Horbury Town 0
Salisbury -
TBD -
Taunton Town 4
Millbrook 0
Dulwich Hamlet 4
East Grinstead Town 0
Faversham 2
Welling 3
Thame United 3
Reading City 2
Banbury 1
Exmouth Town 2
Whitehawk 2
Eastbourne Borough 4
Holmesdale 1
Windsor & Eton 5
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Fleetlands 0
Cirencester 3
TBD -
Farnham -
Chesham -
TBD -
Ware 6
Fakenham 4
Harleston Town 3
Romford 1
Real Bedford 4
Royston Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Three Bridges 0
Kingstonian 1
Leatherhead 3
Croydon Athletic 0
Ascot United 1
Pagham 3
Hanworth Villa 4
Whitstable Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Lewes 2
Cray Wanderers 3
TBD -
Maidstone -
Yate 3
Devizes Town 0
Chippenham Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Uxbridge 3
Haywards Heath 0
TBD -
Farnborough -
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Slimbridge 4
Wells City 0
Hungerford 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bishops Cleeve 2
Poole Town 1
Tadley Calleva 3
Laverstock & Ford 1
Westfield 1
Dartford 3
Hayes & Yeading 2
Camberley Town 1
Tonbridge -
TBD -
Ramsgate 1
Bracknell Town 0
Torquay -
TBD -
Basingstoke 0
AFC Stoneham 1
Brixham 2
Dorchester 3
TBD -
Oxford City -
Billericay -
TBD -
Frenford 0
Enfield Town 4
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Crowborough 4
Whyteleafe 3
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Wimborne 3
Portishead Town 1
Brackley -
TBD -
Portchester 2
Portland United 1
Canvey Island 2
Newmarket 1
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley 4
Cheshunt 2
Concord Rangers 2
Brentwood 4
Brantham 0
Waltham Abbey 7
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malvern Town 1
Redditch 5
Belper Town 0
Evesham 3
Stortford 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Hendon 7
Hullbridge 3
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
St. Blazey 1
Tiverton 2
Sholing 2
Andover New Street 0
Winslow United 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Bath City 0
Weymouth 2
Broadfields United 1
Chichester City 4
SE Dons 2
Erith Town 0
Falmouth Town 2
Frome Town 4
Gosport Borough 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Walton & Hersham -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Margate 1
Snodland 3
Redhill 1
Sheppey United 2
Chertsey Town 3
Carshalton 2
Sittingbourne 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4
Flackwell Heath 0
Hanwell Town 1
Burgess Hill 3
Jersey Bulls 1
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Southall FC 2
Cobham 1
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Slough Town -
TBD -
Egham Town 0
Chatham 4
Quarter-finals
Harborough 1
Rushall 0
FC Witham Town 0
St. Albans 3
AFC Emley 0
Spennymoor 4
Lower Breck 1
Chester 2
Barton Town 3
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Warrington Rylands 0
Chorley 1
Kettering 2
Quorn 0
Worcester 2
Stratford 1
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stafford 3
Hereford 2
Halesowen 2
Mickleover 0
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton 1
Ashton United 0
South Shields 7
Witton Albion 0
Hitchin 1
Leiston 2
Hednesford 0
Coventry United 1
Hebburn Town 1
Guiseley 4
Bradford PA 1
Lancaster 0
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woodford Town 1
Mulbarton Wanderers 2
AFC Totton 0
Gloucester City 2
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine 3
Radcliffe 2
Warrington Town 3
South Liverpool 0
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Redcar Athletic 1
Macclesfield 2
Dunston 0
Scarborough Athletic 2
Leamington 1
Gainsborough 4
Anstey Nomads 2
Newcastle Town 1
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford 4
Worksop 7
United of Manchester 4
Ossett United 1
Bury FC 5
Workington 1
Bromsgrove 2
Leek Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrogate -
Gorleston 3
Bury Town 4
Spalding United 2
Hanley Town 0
Cambridge City 3
Buckhurst Hill 1
Alvechurch 3
Racing Club Warwick 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 1
Needham Market 3
Braintree 6
Morecambe 2
Southport 0
Redcar Town 2
Darlington FC 4
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heaton Stannington 1
Trafford 2
Atherton Collieries 2
Prescot Cables 0
Salisbury 4
Taunton Town 1
Dulwich Hamlet 4
Welling 1
Thame United 6
Exmouth Town 4
Eastbourne Borough 3
Windsor & Eton 0
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town 1
Truro 3
Cirencester 4
Farnham 3
Chesham 7
Ware 2
Harleston Town 1
Real Bedford 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Kingstonian 0
Leatherhead 1
Pagham 0
Hanworth Villa 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Bedford 2
King’s Lynn 1
Hemel Hempstead 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Cray Wanderers 3
Maidstone 1
Yate 1
Chippenham Town 2
Uxbridge 4
Farnborough 2
Slimbridge 1
Hungerford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bishops Cleeve 0
Tadley Calleva 1
Dartford 4
Hayes & Yeading 2
Tonbridge 2
Ramsgate 1
Torquay 6
AFC Stoneham 1
Dorchester 0
Oxford City 2
Billericay 1
Enfield Town 3
Hampton & Richmond 4
Crowborough 6
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wimborne 3
Brackley 1
Portchester 0
Canvey Island 0
Chelmsford 1
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley 2
Brentwood 3
Waltham Abbey 1
Dagenham & Red. 4
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch 3
Evesham 0
Berkhamsted Town 4
Hendon 1
Maidenhead 1
Ebbsfleet 3
Tiverton 0
Sholing 1
Swindon Supermarine 1
Weymouth 3
Chichester City 2
SE Dons 3
Frome Town 0
Plymouth Parkway 2
Walton & Hersham 0
Horsham FC 3
Snodland 0
Sheppey United 1
Chertsey Town 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 2
Hanwell Town 2
Burgess Hill 1
Dover Ath. 4
Folkestone 2
Southall FC 6
Dorking Wanderers 7
Slough Town 0
Chatham 1
Semi-finals
Harborough 3
St. Albans 2
Spennymoor 4
Chester 1
Barton Town 1
Chorley 4
Kettering 1
Worcester 3
Gateshead -
TBD -
Stafford 3
Halesowen 2
Halifax -
TBD -
Buxton 0
South Shields 2
Leiston 3
Coventry United 1
Guiseley 1
Bradford PA 0
Barrow -
TBD -
Mulbarton Wanderers 1
Gloucester City 2
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Marine 2
Warrington Town 0
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Macclesfield 4
Scarborough Athletic 3
Gainsborough 2
Anstey Nomads 3
Altrincham -
TBD -
Worksop 0
United of Manchester 3
Bury FC 2
Bromsgrove 1
TBD -
Harrogate -
Bury Town 1
Spalding United 5
Cambridge City 1
Alvechurch 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Braintree 1
Morecambe 3
Darlington FC 0
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Trafford 2
Atherton Collieries 5
Salisbury 5
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Thame United 0
Eastbourne Borough 1
Sutton -
TBD -
Truro 4
Cirencester 0
Chesham 4
Real Bedford 3
TBD -
Forest Green -
Leatherhead 1
Hanworth Villa 0
TBD -
Yeovil -
Bedford 5
Wingate & Finchley 3
Cray Wanderers 3
Chippenham Town 0
Uxbridge 3
Hungerford 1
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
TBD -
Tadley Calleva 2
Dartford 1
Tonbridge 0
Torquay 1
Oxford City 6
Enfield Town 1
Crowborough 1
Wimborne 2
Brackley 0
Chelmsford 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Brentwood 3
Dagenham & Red. 1
Southend -
TBD -
Redditch 0
Berkhamsted Town 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Sholing 2
Weymouth 1
SE Dons 5
Plymouth Parkway 2
Horsham FC 1
Sheppey United 0
Chertsey Town 2
Hanwell Town 1
Dover Ath. 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Chatham 0
Final
Harborough 3
Spennymoor 1
Chorley 1
Worcester 1
Gateshead 1
Stafford 1
Halifax 3
South Shields 2
Leiston 0
Guiseley 3
Barrow 0
Gloucester City 0
Hartlepool 0
Marine 2
Boston United 1
Scunthorpe 3
Macclesfield 1
Anstey Nomads 1
Altrincham 0
United of Manchester 0
Bury FC 1
Harrogate 1
Spalding United 2
Alvechurch 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Morecambe 1
Kidderminster 2
Solihull Moors 1
Carlisle 2
Tamworth 1
AFC Fylde 5
Atherton Collieries 0
Salisbury 3
Eastbourne Borough 0
Sutton 1
Truro 0
Chesham 0
Forest Green 0
Leatherhead 3
Yeovil 3
Bedford 0
Cray Wanderers 0
Uxbridge 0
Hornchurch 4
Aldershot 2
Tadley Calleva 2
Torquay 0
Oxford City 1
Wimborne 1
Chelmsford 0
Wealdstone 3
Worthing FC 0
Boreham Wood 3
Woking 2
Eastleigh 3
Brentwood 2
Southend 1
Berkhamsted Town 2
Sholing 2
SE Dons 0
Plymouth Parkway 2
Chertsey Town 0
Dover Ath. 3
Dorking Wanderers 2