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Spanish Town Police vs FC Dunbeholden

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Royal Lakes Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Vanzie A.
40' Event
Turner N. J.
45' Event
Mcgregor J.

AI Match Summary

Spanish Town Police in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spanish Town Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Spanish Town Police
6%
Draws
90%
FC Dunbeholden
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Dunbeholden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Dunbeholden lately — more wins on the board than Spanish Town Police.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FC Dunbeholden taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spanish Town Police here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Spanish Town Police Clean Sheet 10%
FC Dunbeholden Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spanish Town Police FC Dunbeholden
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
Spanish Town Police vs FC Dunbeholden
4:1
Feb 5, 2026 Premier League
FC Dunbeholden vs Spanish Town Police
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Spanish Town Police vs FC Dunbeholden
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spanish Town Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Mcgregor J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vanzie A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FC Dunbeholden Compare

Top Goalscorer Turner N. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spanish Town Police 10 / 100
FC Dunbeholden 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spanish Town Police FC Dunbeholden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Dunbeholden let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

FC Dunbeholden lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Spanish Town Police scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spanish Town Police VS FC Dunbeholden
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126