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Spanish Town Police vs Mount Pleasant

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Royal Lakes Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gayle R.

AI Match Summary

Spanish Town Police in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spanish Town Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Spanish Town Police
6%
Draws
90%
Mount Pleasant
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mount Pleasant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Spanish Town Police haven't matched Mount Pleasant's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mount Pleasant a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Mount Pleasant have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Spanish Town Police Clean Sheet 10%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spanish Town Police Mount Pleasant
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 8
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 4.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Premier League
Spanish Town Police vs Mount Pleasant
1:0
Mar 27, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Spanish Town Police
4:0
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Spanish Town Police
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spanish Town Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Gayle R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Mount Pleasant Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spanish Town Police 10 / 100
Mount Pleasant 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spanish Town Police Mount Pleasant

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Mount Pleasant let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Spanish Town Police scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Mount Pleasant's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Spanish Town Police VS Mount Pleasant
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
4.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126