Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Brno vs Chotebor

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 game between Sparta Brno and Chotebor finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sparta Brno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Sparta Brno
20%
Draws
36%
Chotebor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sparta Brno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Sparta Brno's 1.61 goals per match outpaces what Chotebor have produced (1.24).
  • Model gives Chotebor a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sparta Brno have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sparta Brno Clean Sheet 16%
Chotebor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Brno Chotebor
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.18 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Chotebor
2:0
Jun 13, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Chotebor
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Chotebor vs Sparta Brno
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Brno 11 / 100
Chotebor 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Brno Chotebor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chotebor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chotebor let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Sparta Brno scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sparta Brno stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Brno VS Chotebor
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Brno

(Home)
12 Sept
Slovan Havlickuv Brod
3 : 1
Sparta Brno
05 Sept
Sparta Brno
1 : 0
Humpolec
29 Aug
Znojmo
3 : 0
Sparta Brno
26 Aug
Sparta Brno
0 : 9
Ostrava
22 Aug
Sparta Brno
2 : 0
Chotebor
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Chotebor

(Away)
12 Sept
Chotebor
0 : 0
Velka Bites
06 Sept
Zdar nad Sazavou
0 : 2
Chotebor
28 Aug
Chotebor
0 : 2
FS Trebic
22 Aug
Sparta Brno
2 : 0
Chotebor
16 Aug
Chotebor
2 : 2
Bystrc
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