Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Brno vs Chotebor

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 game between Sparta Brno and Chotebor finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sparta Brno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Sparta Brno
17%
Draws
70%
Chotebor
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Chotebor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sparta Brno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chotebor a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sparta Brno Clean Sheet 10%
Chotebor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Brno Chotebor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 2.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Chotebor
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Chotebor vs Sparta Brno
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Brno 14 / 100
Chotebor 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Brno Chotebor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Brno's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chotebor let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Chotebor's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Brno VS Chotebor
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Brno

(Home)
25 Jul
Sparta Brno
1 : 0
Nove Mesto na Morave
13 Jun
Sparta Brno
2 : 1
Chotebor
06 Jun
FC Kurim
3 : 1
Sparta Brno
31 May
Znojmo
5 : 1
Sparta Brno
23 May
Velka Bites
2 : 1
Sparta Brno
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Chotebor

(Away)
26 Jul
Chotebor
2 : 0
Velke Mezirici
13 Jun
Sparta Brno
2 : 1
Chotebor
06 Jun
Chotebor
1 : 2
Pelhrimov
30 May
Chotebor
1 : 0
FC Kurim
24 May
Znojmo
3 : 1
Chotebor
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