Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Brno vs Humpolec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group D game between Sparta Brno and Humpolec finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sparta Brno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sparta Brno
15%
Draws
26%
Humpolec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Brno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sparta Brno come out ahead of Humpolec on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sparta Brno have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sparta Brno Clean Sheet 16%
Humpolec Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Brno Humpolec
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Humpolec
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Humpolec vs Sparta Brno
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Humpolec
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Brno 36 / 100
Humpolec 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Brno Humpolec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Humpolec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Brno scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Humpolec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sparta Brno remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Brno VS Humpolec
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Brno

(Home)
25 Sept
Bohunice
1 : 2
Sparta Brno
19 Sept
Sparta Brno
3 : 2
Tasovice
12 Sept
Slovan Havlickuv Brod
3 : 1
Sparta Brno
05 Sept
Sparta Brno
1 : 0
Humpolec
29 Aug
Znojmo
3 : 0
Sparta Brno
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Humpolec

(Away)
27 Sept
Humpolec
0 : 0
Chotebor
20 Sept
Zdar nad Sazavou
1 : 2
Humpolec
13 Sept
Humpolec
1 : 2
FS Trebic
05 Sept
Sparta Brno
1 : 0
Humpolec
30 Aug
Humpolec
0 : 2
Bystrc
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bohunice 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
2 Znojmo 8 4 3 1 17:8 15
3 Velka Bites 8 4 3 1 9:7 15
4 Pelhrimov 8 4 2 2 20:11 14
5 FC Kurim 8 4 1 3 22:13 13
6 Slovan Havlickuv Brod 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
7 Sparta Brno 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
8 FS Trebic 8 4 1 3 10:15 13
9 Tasovice 8 2 5 1 13:9 11
10 Velke Mezirici 8 2 3 3 10:17 9
11 Chotebor 8 2 3 3 9:16 9
12 Zdar nad Sazavou 8 2 2 4 14:15 8
13 Zdirec nad Doubravou 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
14 Bystrc 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
15 Humpolec 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
16 Bedrichov 8 0 2 6 6:24 2
Promotion - 3. MSFL 2027/2028 (Main)