Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Brodnica vs Start Warlubie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 game between Sparta Brodnica and Start Warlubie finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sparta Brodnica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sparta Brodnica
15%
Draws
85%
Start Warlubie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Start Warlubie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Start Warlubie come out ahead of Sparta Brodnica on wins alone.
  • Model gives Start Warlubie a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sparta Brodnica Clean Sheet 10%
Start Warlubie Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Brodnica Start Warlubie
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Sparta Brodnica vs Start Warlubie
1:0
Sep 5, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Start Warlubie vs Sparta Brodnica
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Brodnica 26 / 100
Start Warlubie 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Brodnica Start Warlubie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Start Warlubie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Start Warlubie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Start Warlubie lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sparta Brodnica scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Brodnica VS Start Warlubie
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Brodnica

(Home)
15 Jul
Notec Czarnkow
6 : 0
Sparta Brodnica
04 Jun
KKS Kalisz
3 : 1
Sparta Brodnica
28 May
Sparta Brodnica
1 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
21 May
Kleczew
7 : 0
Sparta Brodnica
14 May
Sparta Brodnica
1 : 2
Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski
Page 1 of 6

Start Warlubie

(Away)
04 Jun
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 0
Start Warlubie
28 May
Start Warlubie
0 : 3
Elana Torun
21 May
Lech Poznan II
5 : 0
Start Warlubie
14 May
Start Warlubie
2 : 0
KKS Kalisz
07 May
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 1
Start Warlubie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Warta Poznan 30 18 8 4 57:24 62
2 Pelikan Niechanowo 30 19 5 6 60:28 62
3 Lech Poznan II 30 17 9 4 69:23 60
4 Kleczew 30 15 8 7 63:30 53
5 Jarocin 30 14 9 7 47:27 51
6 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 30 15 6 9 45:28 51
7 Wda Swiecie 30 14 7 9 37:37 49
8 KKS Kalisz 30 13 6 11 41:41 45
9 Elana Torun 30 13 5 12 51:41 44
10 Unia Swarzedz 30 10 8 12 39:55 38
11 Start Warlubie 30 9 8 13 40:45 35
12 Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski 30 9 4 17 39:67 31
13 Ostrovia Ostrow 30 8 5 17 36:48 29
14 Nielba Wagrowiec 30 6 5 19 32:68 23
15 Sparta Brodnica 30 4 10 16 26:55 22
16 Kujawianka 30 3 3 24 26:91 12
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)