Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

0 - 2

Chelmianka Chelm

Our Tip

Match Events

Kuzdra J.

19'

Cichocki P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chelmianka Chelm in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelmianka Chelm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

Draws

90%

Chelmianka Chelm

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chelmianka Chelm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Chelmianka Chelm have won more games recently than Sparta Kazimierza Wielka.
Chelmianka Chelm are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%

Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	Chelmianka Chelm
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	2	16
Draws	1	7
Losses	27	5
Goals Scored	0.5	2.25
Goals Conceded	4.13	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 III Liga - Group IV

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Chelmianka Chelm

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Sep 28, 2025 III Liga - Group IV

Chelmianka Chelm vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Chelmianka Chelm Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuzdra J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cichocki P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100

Chelmianka Chelm 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Chelmianka Chelm

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chelmianka Chelm conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka VS Chelmianka Chelm

0.5 Goals Scored 2.25

4.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 38%

75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	34	23	8	3	84:35	77
2	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	22	8	4	66:30	74
3	Chelmianka Chelm	34	21	9	4	65:31	72
4	Korona Kielce II	34	18	4	12	66:59	58
5	Star Starachowice	34	15	10	9	51:43	55
6	Czarni Polaniec	34	16	5	13	59:49	53
7	Biala Podlaska	34	14	10	10	60:48	52
8	Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow	34	14	9	11	61:45	51
9	Wislanie Skawina	34	15	6	13	52:51	51
10	Wisla II	34	15	4	15	67:58	49
11	Wisloka Debica	34	12	12	10	37:35	48
12	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	34	11	10	13	59:52	43
13	Naprzod Jedrzejow	34	11	5	18	45:55	38
14	Kolbuszowa Dolna	34	11	4	19	36:54	37
15	Stal Krasnik	34	9	7	18	42:52	34
16	Cracovia II	34	9	6	19	44:71	33
17	Swidniczanka Swidnik	34	5	4	25	35:80	19
18	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	34	4	1	29	29:110	13