Sport Picks
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
9'
9'
Kardys K.
27'
27'
Sendor A.
51'
51'
Skiba J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Kazimierza Wielka.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg have won more games recently than Sparta Kazimierza Wielka.
- Model gives Siarka Tarnobrzeg a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 10 |
| Losses | 27 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.63 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.63 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare
Top Goalscorer Sendor A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Krawiec M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare
Top Goalscorer Kardys K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Siarka Tarnobrzeg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka VS Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
3.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
(Home) 30 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
13 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 5 Biala Podlaska
08 May
Wisloka Debica
3 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
13 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 5 Biala Podlaska
02 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
1 : 3 Cracovia II
19 Apr
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
04 Apr
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
1 : 5 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 3
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
(Away) 18 Jul
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3 : 4 R. Rzeszow
11 Jul
Wisloka Debica
0 : 0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
04 Jul
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
30 May
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
5 : 6 Cracovia II
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Wisloka Debica
0 : 0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
13 May
Stal Krasnik
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
09 May
Avia Swidnik
1 : 0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
26 Apr
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)