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Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Khaliev K.
58'
Khaliev K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between Sparta-KT and Ocean Kerch finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Sparta-KT
20%
Draws
64%
Ocean Kerch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ocean Kerch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sparta-KT carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ocean Kerch are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sparta-KT Clean Sheet 20%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta-KT Ocean Kerch
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch
0:0
May 3, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta-KT 10 / 100
Ocean Kerch 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta-KT Ocean Kerch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ocean Kerch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta-KT found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ocean Kerch conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Ocean Kerch lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta-KT VS Ocean Kerch
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta-KT

(Home)
09 Sept
Sparta-KT
1 : 6
MAK
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
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Ocean Kerch

(Away)
19 Sept
Ocean Kerch
1 : 2
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
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