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Sparta-KT vs Zarechnoye

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Nuridinov D.
63' Event
Udin Y.
79' Event
Malinevskiy A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between Sparta-KT and Zarechnoye finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zarechnoye.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sparta-KT
6%
Draws
90%
Zarechnoye
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zarechnoye

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sparta-KT haven't matched Zarechnoye's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Zarechnoye a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sparta-KT Clean Sheet 20%
Zarechnoye Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta-KT Zarechnoye
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Zarechnoye
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs Sparta-KT
3:3
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Zarechnoye
1:0
Sep 17, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs Sparta-KT
3:0
Jun 21, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Zarechnoye
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta-KT Compare

Top Goalscorer Malinevskiy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zarechnoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuridinov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Udin Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta-KT 10 / 100
Zarechnoye 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta-KT Zarechnoye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta-KT found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Zarechnoye's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sparta-KT has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sparta-KT VS Zarechnoye
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta-KT

(Home)
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
06 Jun
Sparta-KT
3 : 0
Feodosiya
30 May
Sparta-KT
2 : 5
MAK
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Zarechnoye

(Away)
20 Jun
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
Zarechnoye
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
06 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
Zarechnoye
30 May
Feodosiya
2 : 3
Zarechnoye
24 May
Zarechnoye
1 : 4
MAK
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