Sport Picks
Sparta Lichtenberg vs TB Berlin
Germany
Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Sparta Lichtenberg in this Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Lichtenberg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Sparta Lichtenberg have won more games recently than TB Berlin.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Sparta Lichtenberg taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Sparta Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 16%
TB Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Lichtenberg | TB Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.32 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.36 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs TB Berlin
5:1
Oct 17, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TB Berlin vs Sparta Lichtenberg
2:1
May 24, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs TB Berlin
5:3
Dec 1, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TB Berlin vs Sparta Lichtenberg
3:1
Feb 18, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs TB Berlin
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sparta Lichtenberg 41 / 100
TB Berlin 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sparta Lichtenberg TB Berlin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sparta Lichtenberg scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
TB Berlin has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Sparta Lichtenberg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sparta Lichtenberg VS TB Berlin
2 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Lichtenberg
(Home) 20 Sept
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 1 TSG Neustrelitz
13 Sept
Mahlsdorf
2 : 0 Sparta Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 3 Berliner AK 07
16 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 1 FSV Schwerin
09 Aug
Reinickendorfer
1 : 1 Sparta Lichtenberg
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 1 TSG Neustrelitz
30 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 3 Berliner AK 07
16 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 1 FSV Schwerin
02 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 2 Krieschow
14 Jul
Sparta Lichtenberg
3 : 2 Mariendorf
Page 1 of 4
TB Berlin
(Away) 25 Sept
TB Berlin
0 : 1 Lichtenberg
20 Sept
Hansa Rostock II
2 : 2 TB Berlin
13 Sept
TB Berlin
1 : 0 Wismar
28 Aug
FSV Schwerin
2 : 1 TB Berlin
16 Aug
TUS Makkabi
0 : 0 TB Berlin
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Hansa Rostock II
2 : 2 TB Berlin
28 Aug
FSV Schwerin
2 : 1 TB Berlin
16 Aug
TUS Makkabi
0 : 0 TB Berlin
11 Jul
Rsv Eintracht
3 : 1 TB Berlin
01 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
3 : 0 TB Berlin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 30 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 85:32 | 67 |
| 2 | Lichtenberg | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 77:45 | 61 |
| 3 | Hansa Rostock II | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 66:49 | 57 |
| 4 | TSG Neustrelitz | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 62:38 | 53 |
| 5 | Klosterfelde | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 52 |
| 6 | Siedenbollentin | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 59:59 | 47 |
| 7 | Mahlsdorf | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 50:49 | 46 |
| 8 | TUS Makkabi | 30 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 57:55 | 44 |
| 9 | Wismar | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 56:55 | 41 |
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 77:72 | 39 |
| 11 | Rathenow | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 41:47 | 37 |
| 12 | TB Berlin | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 44:58 | 36 |
| 13 | Berliner AK 07 | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 50:66 | 36 |
| 14 | Dynamo Schwerin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 41:47 | 31 |
| 15 | Croatia Berlin | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 39:81 | 19 |
| 16 | Viktoria Berlin | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 42:109 | 13 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost (Main)
