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Sparta Lichtenberg vs TSG Neustrelitz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 game between Sparta Lichtenberg and TSG Neustrelitz finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sparta Lichtenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Sparta Lichtenberg
15%
Draws
36%
TSG Neustrelitz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Lichtenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TSG Neustrelitz come out ahead of Sparta Lichtenberg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sparta Lichtenberg's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Sparta Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 14%
TSG Neustrelitz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Lichtenberg TSG Neustrelitz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 2.34 2
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs TSG Neustrelitz
4:1
May 17, 2026 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs TSG Neustrelitz
4:2
Nov 22, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TSG Neustrelitz vs Sparta Lichtenberg
6:1
May 11, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs TSG Neustrelitz
6:4
Nov 10, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TSG Neustrelitz vs Sparta Lichtenberg
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Lichtenberg 57 / 100
TSG Neustrelitz 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Lichtenberg TSG Neustrelitz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Lichtenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Lichtenberg's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.40 goals per match.

TSG Neustrelitz has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

TSG Neustrelitz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Lichtenberg VS TSG Neustrelitz
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Lichtenberg

(Home)
27 Sept
Klosterfelde
2 : 1
Sparta Lichtenberg
20 Sept
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
13 Sept
Mahlsdorf
2 : 0
Sparta Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 3
Berliner AK 07
16 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 1
FSV Schwerin
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TSG Neustrelitz

(Away)
27 Sept
TSG Neustrelitz
1 : 3
Berliner AK 07
20 Sept
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
13 Sept
TSG Neustrelitz
1 : 2
Reinickendorfer
28 Aug
Rathenow
2 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
14 Aug
TSG Neustrelitz
3 : 2
Siedenbollentin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SV Tasmania Berlin 30 22 1 7 85:32 67
2 Lichtenberg 30 19 4 7 77:45 61
3 Hansa Rostock II 30 18 3 9 66:49 57
4 TSG Neustrelitz 30 16 5 9 62:38 53
5 Klosterfelde 30 15 7 8 59:43 52
6 Siedenbollentin 30 13 8 9 59:59 47
7 Mahlsdorf 30 13 7 10 50:49 46
8 TUS Makkabi 30 14 2 14 57:55 44
9 Wismar 30 12 5 13 56:55 41
10 Sparta Lichtenberg 30 12 3 15 77:72 39
11 Rathenow 30 9 10 11 41:47 37
12 TB Berlin 30 10 6 14 44:58 36
13 Berliner AK 07 30 11 3 16 50:66 36
14 Dynamo Schwerin 30 7 10 13 41:47 31
15 Croatia Berlin 30 5 4 21 39:81 19
16 Viktoria Berlin 30 3 4 23 42:109 13
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