Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Lichtenberg vs Viktoria Berlin

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Lichtenberg in this Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 7-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Lichtenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sparta Lichtenberg
30%
Draws
12%
Viktoria Berlin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sparta Lichtenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sparta Lichtenberg lately — more wins on the board than Viktoria Berlin.
  • Win probability leans Sparta Lichtenberg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85%
Sparta Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 11%
Viktoria Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Lichtenberg Viktoria Berlin
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 2.32 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.36 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs Viktoria Berlin
7:3
Nov 1, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Viktoria Berlin vs Sparta Lichtenberg
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Lichtenberg 83 / 100
Viktoria Berlin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Lichtenberg Viktoria Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Lichtenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Lichtenberg scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Viktoria Berlin has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.50 goals per match.

Sparta Lichtenberg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Lichtenberg VS Viktoria Berlin
2.75 Goals Scored 1.33
2.25 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 83%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Lichtenberg

(Home)
20 Sept
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
13 Sept
Mahlsdorf
2 : 0
Sparta Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 3
Berliner AK 07
16 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 1
FSV Schwerin
09 Aug
Reinickendorfer
1 : 1
Sparta Lichtenberg
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Viktoria Berlin

(Away)
30 May
Hansa Rostock II
6 : 1
Viktoria Berlin
15 May
Viktoria Berlin
1 : 1
Rathenow
10 May
Mahlsdorf
2 : 1
Viktoria Berlin
02 May
Viktoria Berlin
2 : 5
Siedenbollentin
26 Apr
Sparta Lichtenberg
7 : 3
Viktoria Berlin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SV Tasmania Berlin 30 22 1 7 85:32 67
2 Lichtenberg 30 19 4 7 77:45 61
3 Hansa Rostock II 30 18 3 9 66:49 57
4 TSG Neustrelitz 30 16 5 9 62:38 53
5 Klosterfelde 30 15 7 8 59:43 52
6 Siedenbollentin 30 13 8 9 59:59 47
7 Mahlsdorf 30 13 7 10 50:49 46
8 TUS Makkabi 30 14 2 14 57:55 44
9 Wismar 30 12 5 13 56:55 41
10 Sparta Lichtenberg 30 12 3 15 77:72 39
11 Rathenow 30 9 10 11 41:47 37
12 TB Berlin 30 10 6 14 44:58 36
13 Berliner AK 07 30 11 3 16 50:66 36
14 Dynamo Schwerin 30 7 10 13 41:47 31
15 Croatia Berlin 30 5 4 21 39:81 19
16 Viktoria Berlin 30 3 4 23 42:109 13
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