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Stadium Background

Sparta Nijkerk vs Ajax (Am)

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Sparta Nijkerk Logo

Sparta Nijkerk

1 - 1
FT
Ajax (Am) Logo

Ajax (Am)

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bakkenes R.
90' Event
Sporkslede F.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sparta Nijkerk
15%
Draws
0%
Ajax (Am)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sparta Nijkerk lately — more wins on the board than Ajax (Am).
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sparta Nijkerk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 18%
Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Nijkerk Ajax (Am)
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.4 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs Ajax (Am)
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs Sparta Nijkerk
3:4
May 24, 2022 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs Sparta Nijkerk
0:1
Nov 6, 2021 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs Ajax (Am)
1:2
Feb 20, 2021 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs Ajax (Am)
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Nijkerk Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakkenes R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Ajax (Am) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Nijkerk 85 / 100
Ajax (Am) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Nijkerk Ajax (Am)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sparta Nijkerk scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ajax (Am) conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Ajax (Am) lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Nijkerk VS Ajax (Am)
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Nijkerk

(Home)
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4
Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2
USV Hercules
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3
Sparta Nijkerk
02 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
2 : 0
Venray
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Ajax (Am)

(Away)
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0
Ajax (Am)
29 Jul
Ajax (Am)
3 : 4
Jong Almere City
04 Jun
Ajax (Am)
0 : 1
Kampong
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2
Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0
Ajax (Am)
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)