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Sparta Nijkerk vs Eemdijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Nijkerk in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Nijkerk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Sparta Nijkerk
15%
Draws
17%
Eemdijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Sparta Nijkerk have won more games recently than Eemdijk.
  • Win probability leans Sparta Nijkerk's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 11%
Eemdijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Nijkerk Eemdijk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.31 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Sparta Nijkerk
0:4
May 23, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs Eemdijk
3:1
Dec 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Sparta Nijkerk
2:4
May 24, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs Eemdijk
2:2
Dec 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Sparta Nijkerk
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Nijkerk 83 / 100
Eemdijk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Nijkerk Eemdijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Nijkerk's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Eemdijk let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Sparta Nijkerk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Nijkerk VS Eemdijk
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Nijkerk

(Home)
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2
Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2
Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4
Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2
USV Hercules
Page 1 of 6

Eemdijk

(Away)
26 Sept
TEC
7 : 2
Eemdijk
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1
Roosendaal
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4
Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1
Eemdijk
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)