Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Prague vs Jablonec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga 2025/2026 epet ARENA, Prague
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sobol E.
15'
Sub
Grimaldo J. In: Rynes M.
Out: Grimaldo J.
43'
Sobol E.

AI Match Summary

Sparta Prague in this Chance Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Prague.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Sparta Prague
15%
Draws
61%
Jablonec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jablonec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Sparta Prague have won more games recently than Jablonec.
  • Model gives Jablonec a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 14%
Jablonec Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Prague Jablonec
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.81 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Jablonec
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Jablonec
3:1
Jul 19, 2025 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Sparta Prague
1:1
May 4, 2025 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Jablonec
1:3
Dec 15, 2024 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Jablonec
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Prague Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuchta J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rrahmani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Jablonec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Prague 15 / 100
Jablonec 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Prague Jablonec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Prague's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Jablonec has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sparta Prague stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Prague VS Jablonec
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Prague

(Home)
08 Aug
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 0
Sparta Prague
04 Aug
Sparta Prague
2 : 1
Lyon
31 Jul
Sparta Prague
3 : 1
Zlin
25 Jul
Brno
3 : 1
Sparta Prague
17 Jul
Nordsjaelland
5 : 1
Sparta Prague
Page 1 of 6

Jablonec

(Away)
09 Aug
Jablonec
1 : 0
Slovacko
06 Aug
Jablonec
2 : 0
RFS
02 Aug
FK Pardubice
0 : 2
Jablonec
30 Jul
Jablonec
2 : 0
Varazdin
26 Jul
Jablonec
2 : 1
Sigma Olomouc
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 35 24 8 3 74:31 80
2 Sparta Prague 35 23 7 5 69:34 76
3 Plzen 35 18 9 8 60:38 63
4 Hradec Kralove 35 16 8 11 50:41 56
5 Jablonec 35 16 7 12 45:47 55
6 Liberec 35 12 10 13 45:39 46
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)