Sport Picks
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eredivisie 2025/2026 Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam 
Match Events
14'
14'
Vianello G.
Own Goal
40'
40'
van Crooij V.
46'
46'
Sub
Bakari S. In: Zonneveld M.
Out: Bakari S.
AI Match Summary
Excelsior in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Excelsior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Excelsior have won more games recently than Sparta Rotterdam.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Rotterdam | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
2:1
May 17, 2026 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior
2:3
Sep 14, 2025 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
0:1
Feb 17, 2024 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior
4:2
Oct 1, 2023 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sparta Rotterdam Compare
Top Goalscorer Santos A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zonneveld M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Zagre A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Naujoks N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sparta Rotterdam 10 / 100
Excelsior 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sparta Rotterdam Excelsior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Sparta Rotterdam's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Excelsior let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Sparta Rotterdam remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sparta Rotterdam VS Excelsior
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Rotterdam
(Home) 19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 Heerenveen
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Zwolle
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3 Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 Heerenveen
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Zwolle
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3 Utrecht
09 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1 Feyenoord
01 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 0 Duisburg
Page 1 of 3
Excelsior
(Away) 19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2 Excelsior
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2 Utrecht
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2 Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2 Excelsior
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2 Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4 Excelsior
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5 Excelsior
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 65 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | 43 |
| 11 | Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | 39 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | 37 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)
