Sport Picks
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior
Netherlands
Eredivisie 2025/2026 Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam 
Match Events
14'
14'
Vianello G.
Own Goal
40'
40'
van Crooij V.
46'
46'
Sub
Bakari S. In: Zonneveld M.
Out: Bakari S.
AI Match Summary
Excelsior in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
20%
71%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Sparta Rotterdam have won more games recently than Excelsior.
- 71% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Rotterdam | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.12 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior
2:3
Sep 14, 2025 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
0:1
Feb 17, 2024 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior
4:2
Oct 1, 2023 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
2:1
Mar 5, 2023 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sparta Rotterdam Compare
Top Goalscorer Santos A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zonneveld M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Zagre A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Naujoks N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sparta Rotterdam 10 / 100
Excelsior 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sparta Rotterdam Excelsior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EXC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sparta Rotterdam scored in 82% of their last 33 games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Excelsior let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Sparta Rotterdam remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sparta Rotterdam VS Excelsior
2.63 Goals Scored 3.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Rotterdam
(Home) 09 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1 Feyenoord
01 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 0 Duisburg
28 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1 Asteras Tripolis
25 Jul
Waregem
3 : 2 Sparta Rotterdam
18 Jul
Meppen
3 : 2 Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 7
09 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1 Feyenoord
01 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 0 Duisburg
28 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1 Asteras Tripolis
11 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 0 Telstar
17 May
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3 Excelsior
Page 1 of 3
Excelsior
(Away) 07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4 Excelsior
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5 Excelsior
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5 Excelsior
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3 Excelsior
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2 Excelsior
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4 Excelsior
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5 Excelsior
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5 Excelsior
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3 Excelsior
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2 Excelsior
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 65 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | 43 |
| 11 | Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | 39 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | 37 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)
