Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Didden M.
Assist: Cathline Y.
45' Event
Young M.
Assist: Kuipers B.
46' Event
Stepanov A.
Assist: Vesterlund N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sparta Rotterdam
35%
Draws
46%
Utrecht
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Utrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Utrecht lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Rotterdam.
  • Sparta Rotterdam are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 16%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Rotterdam Utrecht
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.6 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht
3:3
Jan 25, 2026 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht
2:1
May 14, 2025 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Rotterdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Young M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zonneveld M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Utrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Didden M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stepanov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Rotterdam 75 / 100
Utrecht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Rotterdam Utrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Rotterdam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Sparta Rotterdam's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Utrecht let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Sparta Rotterdam has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Rotterdam VS Utrecht
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Rotterdam

(Home)
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4
Heerenveen
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Zwolle
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3
Utrecht
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Utrecht

(Away)
20 Sept
Feyenoord
5 : 0
Utrecht
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2
Utrecht
08 Sept
Utrecht
3 : 3
G.A. Eagles
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6
PSV
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3
Utrecht
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 7 6 1 0 18:6 19
2 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 25:7 17
3 PSV 7 5 1 1 24:10 16
4 Twente 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21:9 14
6 Sittard 7 4 1 2 13:14 13
7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15:9 11
8 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
9 G.A. Eagles 7 2 4 1 16:14 10
10 Heerenveen 7 2 3 2 11:9 9
11 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 10:17 5
13 Telstar 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10:19 5
15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11:24 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7:17 2
18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)