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Sparta Sarpsborg vs Sprint-Jeloy

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Sarpsborg play Sprint-Jeloy in the Division 3 - Group 1 2014. Sprint-Jeloy are favorites here. Recently, Sparta Sarpsborg averaged 1.62 goals scored and 3.29 conceded. Sprint-Jeloy averaged 1.46 goals scored and 2.19 conceded. In past meetings, Sparta Sarpsborg won 0, Sprint-Jeloy won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 20, 2016 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Sparta Sarpsborg and 1.00 for Sprint-Jeloy. This points to a Sprint-Jeloy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Sparta Sarpsborg
25%
Draws
60%
Sprint-Jeloy
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sprint-Jeloy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Sparta Sarpsborg picked up more points recently compared to Sprint-Jeloy.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Sparta Sarpsborg Clean Sheet 23%
Sprint-Jeloy Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Sarpsborg Sprint-Jeloy
Matches Played 34 37
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 1.62 1.46
Goals Conceded 3.29 2.19

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2016 Division 3 - Group 1
Sparta Sarpsborg vs Sprint-Jeloy
0:1
May 2, 2016 Division 3 - Group 1
Sprint-Jeloy vs Sparta Sarpsborg
2:1
Sep 20, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Sparta Sarpsborg vs Sprint-Jeloy
0:3
Jun 1, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Sprint-Jeloy vs Sparta Sarpsborg
3:1
Jul 27, 2013 Division 3 - Group 1
Sparta Sarpsborg vs Sprint-Jeloy
2:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Sarpsborg 18 / 100
Sprint-Jeloy 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Sarpsborg Sprint-Jeloy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sprint-Jeloy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sprint-Jeloy & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sparta Sarpsborg attacking → ← attacking Sprint-Jeloy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Sarpsborg scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Sprint-Jeloy let in goals in 73% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Sparta Sarpsborg went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sprint-Jeloy lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 44
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00