Sport Picks
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
Moldova
Moldovan Cup Stadionul Suruceni, Suruceni 
Match Events
67'
67'
Danilov M.
69'
69'
Gliga E.
77'
77'
Leuca P.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Sparta Selemet advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Iskra Ribnita come out ahead of Sparta Selemet on wins alone.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Iskra Ribnita arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Iskra Ribnita, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sparta Selemet Clean Sheet 20%
Iskra Ribnita Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Selemet | Iskra Ribnita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Super Liga
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
0:2
Apr 10, 2026 Super Liga
Iskra Ribnita vs Sparta Selemet
1:1
Oct 28, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
3:1
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
2:3
May 11, 2024 Super Liga
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sparta Selemet Compare
Top Goalscorer Danilov M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Weiss S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Iskra Ribnita Compare
Top Goalscorer Gliga E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sparta Selemet 32 / 100
Iskra Ribnita 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sparta Selemet Iskra Ribnita
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ISK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Defensive concern: Iskra Ribnita conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Sparta Selemet scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Sparta Selemet has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sparta Selemet VS Iskra Ribnita
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Selemet
(Home) 20 May
Sparta Selemet
1 : 4 Floresti
16 May
Sparta Selemet
3 : 0 Falesti
09 May
Sparta Selemet
0 : 2 Iskra Ribnita
04 May
Politehnica UTM
2 : 0 Sparta Selemet
01 May
Sparta Selemet
5 : 2 Stauceni
Page 1 of 6
20 May
Sparta Selemet
1 : 4 Floresti
16 May
Sparta Selemet
3 : 0 Falesti
09 May
Sparta Selemet
0 : 2 Iskra Ribnita
01 May
Sparta Selemet
5 : 2 Stauceni
22 Apr
Sparta Selemet
0 : 0 Milsami
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Iskra Ribnita
(Away) 20 May
Real Sireti
1 : 0 Iskra Ribnita
16 May
Iskra Ribnita
3 : 1 Stauceni
09 May
Sparta Selemet
0 : 2 Iskra Ribnita
05 May
Iskra Ribnita
3 : 0 Real Sireti
01 May
Iskra Ribnita
0 : 2 Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 6
20 May
Real Sireti
1 : 0 Iskra Ribnita
09 May
Sparta Selemet
0 : 2 Iskra Ribnita
25 Apr
Stauceni
0 : 0 Iskra Ribnita
04 Apr
Real Sireti
4 : 0 Iskra Ribnita
20 Mar
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1 Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Petrocub Hincesti-
TBD-
Oguzsport1
Olimp Comrat2
Zaria Balti-
TBD-
Falesti1
Victoria2
Sheriff Tiraspol-
TBD-
FCM Ungheni3
Steaua Nordului2
Dacia Buiucani-
TBD-
Stauceni7
National Ialoveni3
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
Univer Comrat6
Constructorul Leova1
Politehnica UTM-
TBD-
Real Sireti7
CSFCJT Atletico2
Milsami-
TBD-
Floresti6
EFA Visoca0
Sparta Selemet-
TBD-
Iskra Ribnita4
FC Congaz1
1/8-finals
Petrocub Hincesti2
Olimp Comrat0
CSF Balti6
Victoria1
Sheriff Tiraspol7
FCM Ungheni0
Dacia Buiucani1
Stauceni0
Zimbru Chisinau10
Univer Comrat0
Politehnica UTM6
Real Sireti1
Milsami1
Floresti0
Sparta Selemet3
Iskra Ribnita1
Quarter-finals
Petrocub Hincesti2
CSF Balti1
Sheriff Tiraspol4
Dacia Buiucani1
Zimbru Chisinau10
Politehnica UTM0
Milsami5
Sparta Selemet0
Semi-finals
Petrocub Hincesti1
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Zimbru Chisinau3
Milsami0
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Zimbru Chisinau0