Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup Stadionul Suruceni
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Danilov M.
69' Event
Gliga E.
77' Event
Leuca P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Moldovan Cup game between Sparta Selemet and Iskra Ribnita finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sparta Selemet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sparta Selemet
39%
Draws
30%
Iskra Ribnita
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iskra Ribnita come out ahead of Sparta Selemet on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Moldovan Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sparta Selemet Clean Sheet 20%
Iskra Ribnita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Selemet Iskra Ribnita
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Super Liga
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
0:2
Apr 10, 2026 Super Liga
Iskra Ribnita vs Sparta Selemet
1:1
Oct 28, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
3:1
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
2:3
May 11, 2024 Super Liga
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Selemet Compare

Top Goalscorer Danilov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weiss S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Iskra Ribnita Compare

Top Goalscorer Gliga E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Selemet 32 / 100
Iskra Ribnita 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Selemet Iskra Ribnita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ISK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Iskra Ribnita let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sparta Selemet scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Sparta Selemet went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Selemet VS Iskra Ribnita
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Petrocub Hincesti-
TBD-
Oguzsport1
Olimp Comrat2
Zaria Balti-
TBD-
Falesti1
Victoria2
Sheriff Tiraspol-
TBD-
FCM Ungheni3
Steaua Nordului2
Dacia Buiucani-
TBD-
Stauceni7
National Ialoveni3
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
Univer Comrat6
Constructorul Leova1
Politehnica UTM-
TBD-
Real Sireti7
CSFCJT Atletico2
Milsami-
TBD-
Floresti6
EFA Visoca0
Sparta Selemet-
TBD-
Iskra Ribnita4
FC Congaz1
1/8-finals
Petrocub Hincesti2
Olimp Comrat0
CSF Balti6
Victoria1
Sheriff Tiraspol7
FCM Ungheni0
Dacia Buiucani1
Stauceni0
Zimbru Chisinau10
Univer Comrat0
Politehnica UTM6
Real Sireti1
Milsami1
Floresti0
Sparta Selemet3
Iskra Ribnita1
Quarter-finals
Petrocub Hincesti2
CSF Balti1
Sheriff Tiraspol4
Dacia Buiucani1
Zimbru Chisinau10
Politehnica UTM0
Milsami5
Sparta Selemet0
Semi-finals
Petrocub Hincesti1
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Zimbru Chisinau3
Milsami0
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Zimbru Chisinau0