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Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadionul Suruceni, Suruceni
Sparta Selemet Logo

Sparta Selemet

0 - 2
FT
Iskra Ribnita Logo

Iskra Ribnita

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mihailov M.
33' Event
Tipac M.
88'
Zavalisca V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Iskra Ribnita in this Super Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iskra Ribnita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sparta Selemet
15%
Draws
85%
Iskra Ribnita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iskra Ribnita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Iskra Ribnita have won more games recently than Sparta Selemet.
  • Iskra Ribnita are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sparta Selemet Clean Sheet 10%
Iskra Ribnita Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Selemet Iskra Ribnita
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.24 2
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Liga 1
Iskra Ribnita vs Sparta Selemet
10:0
May 9, 2026 Super Liga
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
0:2
Apr 10, 2026 Super Liga
Iskra Ribnita vs Sparta Selemet
1:1
Oct 28, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
3:1
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Selemet Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Iskra Ribnita Compare

Top Goalscorer Mihailov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tipac M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.58
Avg xA / game 2.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Selemet 10 / 100
Iskra Ribnita 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Selemet Iskra Ribnita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iskra Ribnita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Sparta Selemet scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Iskra Ribnita has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Away concern: Iskra Ribnita has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Selemet VS Iskra Ribnita
1.13 Goals Scored 3
4.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Selemet

(Home)
19 Sept
Sparta Selemet
1 : 2
Vulturii Cutezatori
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
04 Sept
Sparta Selemet
3 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau 2
01 Sept
Sparta Selemet
0 : 3
Univer Comrat
29 Aug
Sparta Selemet
1 : 6
Univer Comrat
Page 1 of 6

Iskra Ribnita

(Away)
18 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
2 : 0
Zimbru Chisinau 2
11 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
2 : 1
Iskra Ribnita
05 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
1 : 0
Univer Comrat
02 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
4 : 1
Tarigrad
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Politehnica UTM 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Real Sireti 10 5 2 3 16:12 17
3 Sparta Selemet 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
4 Floresti 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
5 Iskra Ribnita 10 2 4 4 9:13 10
6 Stauceni 10 0 5 5 9:20 5
Relegation - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Politehnica UTM 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Real Sireti 10 5 2 3 16:12 17
3 Sparta Selemet 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
4 Floresti 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
5 Iskra Ribnita 10 2 4 4 9:13 10
6 Stauceni 10 0 5 5 9:20 5
Relegation - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)