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Spartak Dubnica vs Gbely

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Dubnica play Gbely in the 4. liga - West 2025/2026. Spartak Dubnica are favorites here. Recently, Spartak Dubnica averaged 2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Gbely averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Dubnica won 3, Gbely won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Spartak Dubnica and 0.88 for Gbely. This points to a Spartak Dubnica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Spartak Dubnica
20%
Draws
21%
Gbely
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Dubnica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Spartak Dubnica picked up more points recently compared to Gbely.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Spartak Dubnica Clean Sheet 25%
Gbely Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Dubnica Gbely
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 4. liga - West
Spartak Dubnica vs Gbely
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 4. liga - West
Gbely vs Spartak Dubnica
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 4. liga - West
Spartak Dubnica vs Gbely
3:0
Oct 2, 2024 4. liga - West
Gbely vs Spartak Dubnica
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Dubnica 58 / 100
Gbely 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Dubnica Gbely

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Dubnica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Spartak Dubnica & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartak Dubnica attacking → ← attacking Gbely

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Dubnica scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Gbely let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Spartak Dubnica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gbely lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 27
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00