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Stadium Background

Spartak Dubnica vs Gbely - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - West 2025/2026 game between Spartak Dubnica and Gbely finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Dubnica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Spartak Dubnica
15%
Draws
31%
Gbely
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Dubnica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartak Dubnica come out ahead of Gbely on wins alone.
  • Model gives Spartak Dubnica a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spartak Dubnica here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Spartak Dubnica Clean Sheet 20%
Gbely Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Dubnica Gbely
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 8
Draws 3 3
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 2.38 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 4. liga - West
Spartak Dubnica vs Gbely
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 4. liga - West
Gbely vs Spartak Dubnica
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 4. liga - West
Spartak Dubnica vs Gbely
3:0
Oct 2, 2024 4. liga - West
Gbely vs Spartak Dubnica
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Dubnica 67 / 100
Gbely 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Dubnica Gbely

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Dubnica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Dubnica found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Gbely let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Spartak Dubnica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Dubnica VS Gbely
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Dubnica

(Home)
04 Oct
Trebatice
1 : 3
Spartak Dubnica
26 Sept
Spartak Dubnica
2 : 0
FC Topolcany
20 Sept
Nitra B
1 : 0
Spartak Dubnica
12 Sept
Spartak Dubnica
2 : 1
AFC Nove Mesto
06 Sept
Imel
1 : 3
Spartak Dubnica
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Gbely

(Away)
04 Oct
Pata
1 : 0
Gbely
26 Sept
Gbely
0 : 0
Boleraz
19 Sept
Soporna
1 : 2
Gbely
12 Sept
Gbely
4 : 1
Malzenice B
05 Sept
Kanianka
3 : 1
Gbely
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