Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartak Guba vs Adliyya Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adliyya Baku in this First Division 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adliyya Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Spartak Guba
33%
Draws
27%
Adliyya Baku
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Spartak Guba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Guba haven't matched Adliyya Baku's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Spartak Guba a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Adliyya Baku have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Spartak Guba Clean Sheet 20%
Adliyya Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Guba Adliyya Baku
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 24
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2009 I Liqa
Spartak Guba vs Adliyya Baku
0:2
Feb 15, 2009 I Liqa
Adliyya Baku vs Spartak Guba
4:0
Oct 26, 2008 I Liqa
Spartak Guba vs Adliyya Baku
3:4
Sep 7, 2008 I Liqa
Adliyya Baku vs Spartak Guba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Guba 40 / 100
Adliyya Baku 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Guba Adliyya Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adliyya Baku has conceded goals in 86% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Adliyya Baku's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Spartak Guba's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Adliyya Baku
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Guba

(Home)
17 May
Sahdag Qusar
3 : 0
Spartak Guba
09 May
Spartak Guba
0 : 3
Mingachevir
03 May
Goyazan Qazax
1 : 2
Spartak Guba
25 Apr
Spartak Guba
0 : 7
ANSAD Neftcala
19 Apr
Spartak Guba
1 : 3
Qafqaz
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Adliyya Baku

(Away)
15 May
Adliyya Baku
0 : 3
Mingachevir
08 May
Lokbatan
3 : 0
Adliyya Baku
30 Apr
ANSAD Neftcala
3 : 0
Adliyya Baku
24 Apr
Adliyya Baku
0 : 3
Sahdag Qusar
16 Apr
MKT Araz Imisli
3 : 0
Adliyya Baku
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