Sport Picks
Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg Prediction & H2H Stats
Russia
Russian Cup Lukoil Arena, Moscow 
Match Events
26'
26'
Solari P.
29'
29'
Dudarin K.
33'
33'
Ugalde M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 5-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
35%
15%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spartak Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Spartak Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
- Spartak Moscow are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Spartak Moscow have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Spartak Moscow, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Spartak Moscow have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Orenburg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartak Moscow | Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 18 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg
1:1
Aug 5, 2026 Russian Cup
Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg
5:1
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow
0:2
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spartak Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Solari P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ugalde M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Orenburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Golybin R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spartak Moscow 86 / 100
Orenburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spartak Moscow Orenburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spartak Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spartak Moscow found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Orenburg let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Spartak Moscow has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Spartak Moscow VS Orenburg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Moscow
(Home) 16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FK Rostov
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1 Orenburg
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FK Rostov
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1 Orenburg
23 Aug
Spartak Moscow
2 : 0 Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 4
Orenburg
(Away) 17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0 Krasnodar
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0 Orenburg
06 Sept
Orenburg
2 : 2 Akron Togliatti
02 Sept
Orenburg
1 : 2 Rubin Kazan
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1 Orenburg
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0 Orenburg
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1 Orenburg
22 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 0 Orenburg
18 Aug
Rodina Moscow
1 : 4 Orenburg
09 Aug
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1 Orenburg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
