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Stadium Background

Spartak Moscow W vs Krasnodar W

Russia Russia

Supreme Division Women Cherenkov Academy Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Moscow W play Krasnodar W in the Supreme Division Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spartak Moscow W averaged 2.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. Krasnodar W averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Moscow W won 3, Krasnodar W won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Spartak Moscow W and 0.51 for Krasnodar W. This points to a Spartak Moscow W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Spartak Moscow W
25%
Draws
25%
Krasnodar W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Spartak Moscow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Spartak Moscow W picked up more points recently compared to Krasnodar W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 0.51 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Spartak Moscow W Clean Sheet 30%
Krasnodar W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Moscow W Krasnodar W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.33 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Supreme Division Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Krasnodar W
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Krasnodar W vs Spartak Moscow W
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Krasnodar W
3:0
Oct 20, 2024 Supreme Division Women
Krasnodar W vs Spartak Moscow W
0:3
May 18, 2024 Supreme Division Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Krasnodar W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Petukhova K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Krasnodar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadigrob A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Moscow W 51 / 100
Krasnodar W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Moscow W Krasnodar W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spartak Moscow W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartak Moscow W attacking → ← attacking Krasnodar W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Moscow W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Krasnodar W let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Spartak Moscow W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Krasnodar W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 38
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13