Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Nalchik host Astrakhan in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Spartak Nalchik have averaged 1.34 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Astrakhan's 1.21 scored and 1.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Spartak Nalchik have won 2 to Astrakhan's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.63) point toward Spartak Nalchik. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Spartak Nalchik
20%
Draws
32%
Astrakhan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Nalchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Nalchik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Spartak Nalchik a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Spartak Nalchik Clean Sheet 14%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Nalchik Astrakhan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Spartak Nalchik
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Spartak Nalchik
1:0
May 24, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Spartak Nalchik
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Nalchik 48 / 100
Astrakhan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Nalchik Astrakhan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Nalchik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Nalchik's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Astrakhan conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Astrakhan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Nalchik VS Astrakhan
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Nalchik

(Home)
19 Sept
Maykop
2 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
12 Sept
Angust Nazran
1 : 2
Spartak Nalchik
05 Sept
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
29 Aug
FC Sevastopol
1 : 0
Spartak Nalchik
26 Aug
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
3 : 0
Spartak Nalchik
Page 1 of 6

Astrakhan

(Away)
19 Sept
Izberbash
0 : 0
Astrakhan
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Astrakhan
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
29 Aug
Zarya Lugansk
4 : 0
Astrakhan
26 Aug
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 0
Astrakhan
Page 1 of 6