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Stadium Background

Spartak Nalchik vs Rubin Yalta

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Dzanelidze B.
66'
Girzishev T.
88' Event
Lysenko S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Spartak Nalchik
17%
Draws
13%
Rubin Yalta
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Spartak Nalchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Rubin Yalta at 1.63 per game, Spartak Nalchik at 1.13.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Nalchik taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Spartak Nalchik Clean Sheet 68%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Nalchik Rubin Yalta
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Rubin Yalta
1:1
May 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Spartak Nalchik
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Spartak Nalchik
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Rubin Yalta
1:2
May 31, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Spartak Nalchik
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Nalchik Compare

Top Goalscorer Lysenko S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rubin Yalta Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzanelidze B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Nalchik 77 / 100
Rubin Yalta 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Nalchik Rubin Yalta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rubin Yalta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Spartak Nalchik scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Spartak Nalchik remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Nalchik VS Rubin Yalta
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Nalchik

(Home)
25 Jul
Spartak Nalchik
1 : 1
Rubin Yalta
04 Jul
Spartak Nalchik
3 : 2
FC Sevastopol
20 Jun
Spartak Nalchik
3 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
13 Jun
Rostov 2
1 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
06 Jun
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Kyzyltash
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Rubin Yalta

(Away)
25 Jul
Spartak Nalchik
1 : 1
Rubin Yalta
04 Jul
Maykop
2 : 2
Rubin Yalta
27 Jun
Rubin Yalta
1 : 2
Nart Cherkessk
20 Jun
Izberbash
2 : 1
Rubin Yalta
13 Jun
Rubin Yalta
0 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
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