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Spartak Nalchik vs Tuapse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 Spartak, Nalchik
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Khachirov A.
17'
Demetradze D.
23' Event
Yerkin A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Spartak Nalchik
15%
Draws
28%
Tuapse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Nalchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Nalchik have won more games recently than Tuapse.
  • Spartak Nalchik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spartak Nalchik have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Spartak Nalchik Clean Sheet 20%
Tuapse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Nalchik Tuapse
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 2
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.55 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Spartak Nalchik
0:4
Nov 5, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Tuapse
1:1
May 21, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Tuapse
5:1
Nov 7, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Spartak Nalchik
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Nalchik Compare

Top Goalscorer Khachirov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Tuapse Compare

Top Goalscorer Yerkin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Nalchik 85 / 100
Tuapse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Nalchik Tuapse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Nalchik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuapse let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Spartak Nalchik's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Tuapse lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Nalchik VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Nalchik

(Home)
03 Oct
Spartak Nalchik
2 : 1
Astrakhan
26 Sept
FK Pobeda
4 : 3
Spartak Nalchik
19 Sept
Maykop
2 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
12 Sept
Angust Nazran
1 : 2
Spartak Nalchik
05 Sept
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
Page 1 of 7

Tuapse

(Away)
05 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5 : 0
Tuapse
30 May
Tuapse
0 : 4
Spartak Nalchik
22 May
Mashuk
1 : 3
Tuapse
16 May
Tuapse
0 : 5
Legion Makhachkala
12 May
Biolog
1 : 0
Tuapse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Makhachkala 32 25 5 2 62:12 80
2 SKA Rostov-on-Don 32 24 4 4 71:22 76
3 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 32 21 7 4 88:24 70
4 Forte Taganrog 32 17 10 5 55:31 61
5 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 32 18 6 8 70:35 60
6 Kuban Kholding 32 15 9 8 46:31 54
7 Legion Makhachkala 32 12 10 10 44:31 46
8 Biolog 32 11 11 10 50:45 44
9 Anzhi 32 13 9 10 46:35 42
10 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 10 12 32:28 40
11 Maykop 32 7 11 14 25:44 32
12 Mashuk 32 7 10 15 47:54 31
13 Dynamo Stavropol 32 7 8 17 40:57 29
14 Tuapse 32 12 2 18 36:60 29
15 R. Volgograd 2 32 5 6 21 26:74 21
16 Alania 2 32 2 6 24 32:97 12
17 Yessentuki 32 2 4 26 16:106 10
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