Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartak Pleven vs Etar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Pleven, Pleven
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Pleven host Etar in the Vtora liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Spartak Pleven at 1.23 goals for, 1.55 against; Etar at 1.96 for, 1.89 against. Past meetings favor Spartak Pleven slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.75, favoring Etar. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Spartak Pleven
15%
Draws
34%
Etar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Pleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Etar lately — more wins on the board than Spartak Pleven.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Pleven taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 12%
Etar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Pleven Etar
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Etar
4:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Etar vs Spartak Pleven
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Vtora liga
Etar vs Spartak Pleven
0:0
May 8, 2025 Vtora liga
Etar vs Spartak Pleven
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Etar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Pleven 40 / 100
Etar 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Pleven Etar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etar let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Spartak Pleven found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Spartak Pleven went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Pleven VS Etar
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Pleven

(Home)
03 Oct
Krumovgrad
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
Page 1 of 7

Etar

(Away)
03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3
Etar
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)