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Spartak Pleven vs Gorna

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Pleven, Pleven
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Pleven host Gorna in the Vtora liga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Spartak Pleven have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Gorna's 1 scored and 2.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Gorna slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.38, favoring Spartak Pleven. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Spartak Pleven
39%
Draws
31%
Gorna
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gorna haven't matched Spartak Pleven's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 17%
Gorna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Pleven Gorna
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Gorna vs Spartak Pleven
2:1
May 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Gorna
5:2
Nov 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Spartak Pleven
3:1
May 17, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Spartak Pleven
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Gorna
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Pleven 30 / 100
Gorna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Pleven Gorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorna let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Spartak Pleven's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Spartak Pleven stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Pleven VS Gorna
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Pleven

(Home)
25 Jul
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 2
Spartak Pleven
18 Jul
Montana
3 : 1
Spartak Pleven
14 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 0
Spartak Pleven
11 Jul
Gorna
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven
07 Jul
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 2
Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 6

Gorna

(Away)
25 Jul
Gorna
1 : 1
Chernomorets 1919
18 Jul
Ludogorets II
2 : 0
Gorna
11 Jul
Gorna
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven
04 Jul
Gorna
1 : 2
Fratria
01 Jul
Cherno More
0 : 0
Gorna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Etar11005:13
2Dobrudzha11005:13
3Spartak Pleven11002:03
4Beroe11002:13
5Marek11001:03
6Ludogorets II11001:03
7Montana10102:21
8Svoge10102:21
9Vihren10101:11
10Gorna10101:11
11CSKA Sofia II10101:11
12Chernomorets 191910101:11
13Hebar10011:20
14Rilski Sportist10010:10
15Fratria10010:10
16Yantra Gabrovo10010:20
17Pirin Blagoevgrad10011:50
18Nesebar10011:50
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)