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Spartak Pleven vs Gorna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Pleven, Pleven
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ivanov Z.
45'
Sub
Ivanov V. In: Trifonov M.
Out: Ivanov V.
55'
Antonov P.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Spartak Pleven and Gorna finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Spartak Pleven
30%
Draws
35%
Gorna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Gorna have managed 0.96 goals a game lately — Spartak Pleven are scoring more at 1.07.
  • Model gives Gorna a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gorna have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 14%
Gorna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Pleven Gorna
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.07 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Gorna
0:1
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Gorna vs Spartak Pleven
2:1
May 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Gorna
5:2
Nov 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Spartak Pleven
3:1
May 17, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Spartak Pleven
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Pleven Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Pleven 23 / 100
Gorna 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Pleven Gorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Spartak Pleven's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Gorna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Spartak Pleven stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Pleven VS Gorna
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Pleven

(Home)
03 Oct
Krumovgrad
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

Gorna

(Away)
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3
Gorna
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)