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Spartak Pleven vs Levski Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Bulgarian Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Spartak Pleven have averaged 1.23 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Levski Sofia's 1.82 scored and 0.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Levski Sofia slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2025, ending 5:1. xG projections (1.06 - 2.06) back Levski Sofia to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Spartak Pleven
15%
Draws
37%
Levski Sofia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Pleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Levski Sofia have won more games recently than Spartak Pleven.
  • Model gives Spartak Pleven a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Levski Sofia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Levski Sofia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Levski Sofia have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 10%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Pleven Levski Sofia
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 11 21
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.23 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Club Friendly
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Pleven
5:1
Jun 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Pleven
2:0
Mar 16, 2002 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Pleven
4:1
Oct 19, 2001 efbet League
Spartak Pleven vs Levski Sofia
2:4
Feb 28, 1998 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Pleven
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Pleven 34 / 100
Levski Sofia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Pleven Levski Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Spartak Pleven scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Spartak Pleven has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Levski Sofia let in goals in 42% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Pleven VS Levski Sofia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Pleven

(Home)
03 Oct
Krumovgrad
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
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Levski Sofia

(Away)
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -