Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartak Pleven vs Svoge

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Pleven
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Pleven play Svoge in the Vtora liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spartak Pleven averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Svoge averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Pleven won 0, Svoge won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Spartak Pleven and 1.19 for Svoge. This points to a Spartak Pleven double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Spartak Pleven
29%
Draws
35%
Svoge
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Spartak Pleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Pleven picked up more points recently compared to Svoge.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 20%
Svoge Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Pleven Svoge
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Svoge
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Spartak Pleven
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Svoge
0:1
Aug 11, 2024 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Spartak Pleven
0:0
Apr 20, 2024 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Svoge
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Pleven 36 / 100
Svoge 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Pleven Svoge

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spartak Pleven or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartak Pleven attacking → ← attacking Svoge

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Pleven scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

Svoge let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Spartak Pleven went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Svoge lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 31
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dunav Ruse32209353:1669
2Yantra Gabrovo321810445:2464
3Fratria32189561:2963
4Vihren32177859:3458
5CSKA Sofia II32167957:3255
6Chernomorets 1919321113838:3246
7Etar3211111039:4344
8Ludogorets II321181341:4341
9Marek3210111127:3541
10Hebar321171441:5140
11Pirin Blagoevgrad329111238:4138
12Spartak Pleven32981537:4535
13Svoge32971628:4834
14Gorna32891533:5233
15Sevlievo32951829:5232
16Minyor Pernik32791632:4530
17Belasitsa Petrich32472126:6219