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Spartak Plovdiv vs Botev Ihtiman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Aytov V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Spartak Plovdiv
15%
Draws
17%
Botev Ihtiman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Botev Ihtiman haven't matched Spartak Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • Spartak Plovdiv are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Spartak Plovdiv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spartak Plovdiv, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 19%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Plovdiv Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.14 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Plovdiv vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Plovdiv 67 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Plovdiv Botev Ihtiman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spartak Plovdiv scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Botev Ihtiman let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Spartak Plovdiv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Botev Ihtiman registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Plovdiv VS Botev Ihtiman
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Plovdiv

(Home)
04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4
Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rozova Dolina
Page 1 of 6

Botev Ihtiman

(Away)
07 Oct
Bansko
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -