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Spartak Plovdiv vs Lok. Plovdiv II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Spartak Plovdiv and Lok. Plovdiv II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Spartak Plovdiv
28%
Draws
22%
Lok. Plovdiv II
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Spartak Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Plovdiv taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spartak Plovdiv here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Lok. Plovdiv II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Plovdiv Lok. Plovdiv II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 3 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Lok. Plovdiv II
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Spartak Plovdiv
1:1
May 18, 2025 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Spartak Plovdiv
1:2
Nov 16, 2024 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Lok. Plovdiv II
2:0
Feb 18, 2024 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Spartak Plovdiv
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Plovdiv 47 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Plovdiv Lok. Plovdiv II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Plovdiv II let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Spartak Plovdiv scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Spartak Plovdiv has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Plovdiv VS Lok. Plovdiv II
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nesebar362943116:2291
2Maritsa Plovdiv36236790:4075
3Neftochimic Burgas36199853:3966
4Yambol 1915362061072:4166
5Levski Karlovo362051164:5365
6Maritsa Milevo361791064:3260
7Spartak Plovdiv361591264:5854
8Sozopol361661450:3854
9OFC Haskovo361571452:4852
10Zagorets3613101352:6049
11Rozova Dolina361461645:5248
12Gigant Saedinenie361451756:5947
13Rodopa Smolyan361441851:7046
14Atletik Kuklen361332043:7842
15Sekirovo Rakovski36981930:5335
16Dimitrovgrad361052142:8235
17Lok. Plovdiv II36962144:5333
18Rakovski 201136832546:9427
19Asenovets36652530:9223