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Spartak Plovdiv vs Rozova Dolina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Spartak Plovdiv and Rozova Dolina finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Plovdiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Spartak Plovdiv come out ahead of Rozova Dolina on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Plovdiv taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 19%
Rozova Dolina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartak Plovdiv | Rozova Dolina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Rozova Dolina
2:0
May 12, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Rozova Dolina
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Spartak Plovdiv
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Rozova Dolina
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Spartak Plovdiv
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spartak Plovdiv 67 / 100
Rozova Dolina 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spartak Plovdiv Rozova Dolina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spartak Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Spartak Plovdiv scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Rozova Dolina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Spartak Plovdiv remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Spartak Plovdiv VS Rozova Dolina
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Plovdiv
(Home) 04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4 Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4 Gigant Saedinenie
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
22 Aug
Spartak Plovdiv
3 : 1 Yambol 1915
Page 1 of 4
Rozova Dolina
(Away) 03 Oct
Atletik Kuklen
3 : 3 Rozova Dolina
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2 Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2 Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Atletik Kuklen
3 : 3 Rozova Dolina
19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2 Rozova Dolina
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
15 Aug
OFC Haskovo
1 : 1 Rozova Dolina
08 Jul
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 1 Rozova Dolina
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |
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