Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-East

Spartak Plovdiv

4 - 0

Rozova Dolina

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Spartak Plovdiv and Rozova Dolina finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Spartak Plovdiv

Draws

Rozova Dolina

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Spartak Plovdiv come out ahead of Rozova Dolina on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Plovdiv taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 34%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%

Rozova Dolina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Spartak Plovdiv	Rozova Dolina
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	11
Draws	6	4
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	2.25	0.88
Goals Conceded	3	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Third League - South-East

Spartak Plovdiv vs Rozova Dolina

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

4:0

Nov 8, 2025 Third League - South-East

Rozova Dolina vs Spartak Plovdiv

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 4 - 4

1:2

Mar 1, 2025 Third League - South-East

Spartak Plovdiv vs Rozova Dolina

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-East

Rozova Dolina vs Spartak Plovdiv

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

May 25, 2024 Third League - South-East

Rozova Dolina vs Spartak Plovdiv

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Plovdiv 83 / 100

Rozova Dolina 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Spartak Plovdiv Rozova Dolina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spartak Plovdiv scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Rozova Dolina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Spartak Plovdiv remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Plovdiv VS Rozova Dolina

2.25 Goals Scored 0.88

3 Goals Conceded 2.25

100% Over 1.5 63%

100% Over 2.5 63%

88% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nesebar	36	29	4	3	116:22	91
2	Maritsa Plovdiv	36	23	6	7	90:40	75
3	Neftochimic Burgas	36	19	9	8	53:39	66
4	Yambol 1915	36	20	6	10	72:41	66
5	Levski Karlovo	36	20	5	11	64:53	65
6	Maritsa Milevo	36	17	9	10	64:32	60
7	Spartak Plovdiv	36	15	9	12	64:58	54
8	Sozopol	36	16	6	14	50:38	54
9	OFC Haskovo	36	15	7	14	52:48	52
10	Zagorets	36	13	10	13	52:60	49
11	Rozova Dolina	36	14	6	16	45:52	48
12	Gigant Saedinenie	36	14	5	17	56:59	47
13	Rodopa Smolyan	36	14	4	18	51:70	46
14	Atletik Kuklen	36	13	3	20	43:78	42
15	Sekirovo Rakovski	36	9	8	19	30:53	35
16	Dimitrovgrad	36	10	5	21	42:82	35
17	Lok. Plovdiv II	36	9	6	21	44:53	33
18	Rakovski 2011	36	8	3	25	46:94	27
19	Asenovets	36	6	5	25	30:92	23