Sport Picks
Spartak Plovdiv vs Sozopol
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Spartak Plovdiv and Sozopol finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Plovdiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Spartak Plovdiv come out ahead of Sozopol on wins alone.
- Model gives Spartak Plovdiv a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Spartak Plovdiv have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartak Plovdiv | Sozopol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.18 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Sozopol
4:3
Apr 9, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Sozopol
2:1
Oct 1, 2025 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Spartak Plovdiv
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Sozopol
2:0
Aug 30, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Spartak Plovdiv
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spartak Plovdiv 34 / 100
Sozopol 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spartak Plovdiv Sozopol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spartak Plovdiv scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Sozopol conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Spartak Plovdiv stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Spartak Plovdiv VS Sozopol
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Plovdiv
(Home) 26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4 Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
29 Aug
OFC Haskovo
1 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4 Gigant Saedinenie
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
22 Aug
Spartak Plovdiv
3 : 1 Yambol 1915
08 Aug
Spartak Plovdiv
4 : 3 Sozopol
Page 1 of 3
Sozopol
(Away) 26 Sept
Sozopol
3 : 2 Sekirovo Rakovski
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0 Sozopol
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0 Sozopol
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1 Dimitrovgrad
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18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0 Sozopol
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0 Sozopol
22 Aug
Levski Karlovo
1 : 4 Sozopol
08 Aug
Spartak Plovdiv
4 : 3 Sozopol
23 May
Sekirovo Rakovski
0 : 1 Sozopol
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)
