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Spartak Tambov vs FK Kompozit

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Tambov play FK Kompozit in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spartak Tambov averaged 1.74 goals scored and 0.74 conceded. FK Kompozit averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Tambov won 1, FK Kompozit won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 22, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Spartak Tambov and 1.25 for FK Kompozit. This points to a Spartak Tambov double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Spartak Tambov
33%
Draws
27%
FK Kompozit
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Spartak Tambov picked up more points recently compared to FK Kompozit.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 19%
FK Kompozit Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Tambov FK Kompozit
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 23 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.74 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs FK Kompozit
1:1
Jun 6, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Kompozit vs Spartak Tambov
1:1
Sep 3, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs FK Kompozit
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Shulgin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Kompozit Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Tambov 40 / 100
FK Kompozit 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Tambov FK Kompozit

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spartak Tambov or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartak Tambov attacking → ← attacking FK Kompozit

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Tambov scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

FK Kompozit let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Spartak Tambov went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FK Kompozit lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

73 Points in last 5 49
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dynamo Vladivostok28203542:1763
2Kosmos28166645:2354
3FK Kompozit28166659:4054
4Salyut-Belgorod28139649:3448
5Spartak Tambov28128837:2844
6Khimki 2281351037:3444
7Sakhalin281261029:2442
8Penza281071134:3537
9Ryazan28981133:3135
10FC Oryol281051334:3235
11Strogino Moscow28941524:3831
12Arsenal Tula 228941531:4031
13SKA Khabarovsk 228761538:5027
14FK Kolomna28561722:5621
15Kvant Obninsk28471719:5119