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Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Stadion Spartak, Varna
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Lovric D.
33' Event
Xande
Assist: Granchov A.
40'
Ressurreicao D.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Spartak Varna and Dobrudzha finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Spartak Varna
35%
Draws
45%
Dobrudzha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dobrudzha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Varna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dobrudzha are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular efbet League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 21%
Dobrudzha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Varna Dobrudzha
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha
7:3
May 6, 2026 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 efbet League
Dobrudzha vs Spartak Varna
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Dobrudzha vs Spartak Varna
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Varna Compare

Top Goalscorer Xande
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dobrudzha Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramadan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Varna 29 / 100
Dobrudzha 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Varna Dobrudzha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dobrudzha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dobrudzha has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Spartak Varna scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Spartak Varna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Varna VS Dobrudzha
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Varna

(Home)
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0
Spartak Varna
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Dobrudzha

(Away)
04 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
27 Sept
Hebar
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
21 Sept
Dobrudzha
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
13 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
06 Sept
Dobrudzha
2 : 2
Beroe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Botev Vratsa 37 13 14 10 36:32 53
10 Lok. Sofia 37 11 14 12 51:48 47
11 Slavia Sofia 37 12 10 15 42:44 46
12 Spartak Varna 37 8 13 16 35:57 37
13 Septemvri Sofia 37 9 9 19 32:64 36
14 Beroe 37 7 13 17 28:52 34
15 Dobrudzha 37 8 7 22 28:52 31
16 Montana 37 4 11 22 21:55 23
Relegation - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Main)