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Spartak Varna vs Hitrino Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2018/2019 Stadion Spartak, Varna
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2018/2019 game between Spartak Varna and Hitrino finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Spartak Varna
35%
Draws
16%
Hitrino
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spartak Varna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartak Varna come out ahead of Hitrino on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hitrino a 16% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 20%
Hitrino Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Varna Hitrino
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2019 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna vs Hitrino
1:1
Mar 23, 2019 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna vs Hitrino
4:1
Oct 6, 2018 Third League - North-East
Hitrino vs Spartak Varna
3:3
Jun 3, 2018 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna vs Hitrino
1:1
Dec 2, 2017 Third League - North-East
Hitrino vs Spartak Varna
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Varna 20 / 100
Hitrino 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Varna Hitrino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hitrino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Spartak Varna's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Hitrino has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Spartak Varna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Varna VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Varna

(Home)
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0
Spartak Varna
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Hitrino

(Away)
14 Mar
Topolite
3 : 0
Hitrino
01 Mar
Chernolomets
3 : 0
Hitrino
22 Feb
Hitrino
0 : 3
Shumen 2007
01 Dec
Kubrat
1 : 0
Hitrino
23 Nov
Hitrino
0 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Varna 5 4 1 0 13:3 13
2 Suvorovo 5 3 1 1 14:3 10
3 Septemvri Tervel 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
4 Svetkavitsa 5 1 2 2 9:6 5
5 Hitrino 5 0 4 1 4:5 4
6 Botev Novi Pazar 5 0 1 4 2:24 1
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