Sport Picks
Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
efbet League Stadion Spartak, Varna 
Match Events
36'
36'
Ivanov B.
57'
57'
Sub
Caio Vidal In: Marinov A.
Out: Caio Vidal
57'
57'
Sub
Lopes J. In: Gomes A.
Out: Lopes J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
35%
53%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ludogorets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Spartak Varna haven't matched Ludogorets's recent run of results.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Ludogorets taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 12%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartak Varna | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets
1:1
Mar 19, 2026 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets
1:5
Oct 18, 2025 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spartak Varna Compare
Top Goalscorer Major S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Ludogorets Compare
Top Goalscorer Shishkov S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spartak Varna 10 / 100
Ludogorets 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spartak Varna Ludogorets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Spartak Varna found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Spartak Varna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Ludogorets conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Spartak Varna VS Ludogorets
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Varna
(Home) 20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1 Lok. Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0 Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0 Spartak Varna
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1 Lok. Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
17 Aug
Spartak Varna
0 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
03 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
Page 1 of 4
Ludogorets
(Away) 04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0 Cherno More
27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0 Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3 Ludogorets
27 Jul
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2 Ludogorets
23 Jul
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 : 0 Ludogorets
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:13 | 7 |
| 13 | Cherno More | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | 5 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
